Match Analysis: Bowling Green Falcons vs Le Moyne Dolphins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stroh Center, Bowling Green, OH
Game Overview
The Bowling Green Falcons (2-0) host the Le Moyne Dolphins (1-1) in a college basketball matchup. Bowling Green has shown dominant performance so far with strong offensive output and solid defense, while Le Moyne is coming off a recent loss and struggling defensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bowling Green is undefeated with a 2-0 record, scoring 203 points for and allowing 113 points against (average margin +45). Le Moyne is 1-1 with an average points scored of 74.8 and allowing about 80.6 points, showing vulnerability on defense.
- Limited direct H2H data available, but recent form strongly favors Bowling Green with superior point differential and home advantage.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Bowling Green has a strong crowd support playing at home in the Stroh Center. Public betting heavily favors Bowling Green with 100% of moneyline bets on them.
- Bowling Green aims to continue undefeated momentum and assert dominance early in the season. Le Moyne needs redemption after a close loss in their previous game and faces a tough road challenge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1200, away: +750 | Bowling Green Falcons | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | home: -105, away: -115 | Bowling Green Falcons -13.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | over: -110, under: -110 | Under 156.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bowling Green Falcons -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 156.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bowling Green Falcons to win straight up and cover the spread with a moderately paced game likely finishing under the total points line.
Predicted Score: Bowling Green Falcons 82 – Le Moyne Dolphins 70