Match Analysis: Boston College Eagles vs The Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Silvio O. Conte Forum, Chestnut Hill, MA
Game Overview
The Boston College Eagles, coming off a close 83-78 overtime loss to Florida Atlantic and starting the season 0-1, host the The Citadel Bulldogs, who are 1-0 after a commanding 105-61 win over Erskine. Boston College has struggled defensively, allowing 75.8 points per game last season and committing many fouls, while The Citadel has shown strong offensive efficiency, averaging 105 points with high 3-point volume and good ball sharing.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Citadel Bulldogs are showing strong offensive form with 45.6% shooting and 35.6% from three, highlighted by Sola Adebisi's 15 PPG. Boston College struggled initially, especially in defense, allowing high-percentage shooting and 18.6 fouls per game last season. Boston College relies on Donald Hand Jr., who recently scored 20 points.
- The last meeting on Nov 4, 2024, saw Boston College defeat The Citadel 69-60. Historically, Boston College has been stronger in this matchup.
- No major injury information available for either team for this game.
- Boston College's home court (Conte Forum) provides a significant advantage. The Eagles' fans are heavily backing their team with roughly 89% of public bets favoring Boston College.
- Boston College is highly motivated to bounce back from an opening loss at home while The Citadel aims to build on their strong start and shock on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston College Eagles: -3500, The Citadel Bulldogs: 1280 | Boston College Eagles to win | β β β β β 92% |
| Spread | Boston College Eagles: -17.5 -110, The Citadel Bulldogs: +17.5 -110 | The Citadel Bulldogs +17.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 143.5 -110, Under: 143.5 -110 | Over 143.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boston College Eagles -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 143.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston College is heavily favored to win given their home advantage and stronger program history. However, The Citadel is expected to cover the 17.5-point spread, with the game likely to go over the 143.5 total due to both teams' offensive performances early in the season.
Predicted Score: Boston College Eagles 78 – The Citadel Bulldogs 71