Match Analysis: Boise State Broncos vs Utah Valley Wolverines – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: ExtraMile Arena, Boise
Game Overview
This matchup features the Boise State Broncos hosting the Utah Valley Wolverines in an early non-conference college basketball contest. Boise State enters 0-1 after a loss, while Utah Valley has started with a 1-0 record. Boise State is a heavy favorite with deep talent and homecourt advantage, but Utah Valley's solid start and the sizeable spread creates interesting betting angles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boise State finished last season strong with 22-8 moneyline records and have strong defensive rebounding. Utah Valley comes in with momentum from a 1-0 opening and may be motivated as underdogs.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Boise State has historically been stronger with better field goal percentages (46.3% vs Utah Valley's lower numbers) and defensive metrics.
- No significant reported injuries for either team ahead of this game.
- Playing at ExtraMile Arena offers Boise State strong homecourt advantage. Public betting heavily favors Boise State, with nearly 100% of bets on them to win directly.
- Boise State aims to bounce back from a season-opening loss, adding extra motivation. Utah Valley seeks to maintain their unblemished record and prove competitive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boise State: -850, Utah Valley: 575 | Boise State Broncos | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Boise State -12.5: -108, Utah Valley +12.5: -112 | Boise State Broncos -12.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 147.5: -105, Under 147.5: -115 | Over 147.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boise State Broncos -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 147.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 147.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State Broncos to win outright on the moneyline; Boise State to cover the spread (-12.5); Game total to go over 147.5 points.
Predicted Score: Boise State Broncos 79 – Utah Valley Wolverines 68