Match Analysis: Boise State Broncos vs Montana St Bobcats – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: ExtraMile Arena, Boise, ID
Game Overview
Boise State Broncos, with a stronger home record and recent dominant wins, face the struggling Montana State Bobcats, who have a poor away record and recent losses.
Key Factors to Consider
- Boise State is 2-1 this season with dominant home victories including +20 and +24 point margins. Montana State is 1-3 with multiple road losses and recent 9-point loss at Stanford.
- Boise State has won each of its last 19 day games against non-conference opponents at home, while Montana State has lost their last nine similar day games.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting this matchup.
- The game is at Boise Stateβs home court, ExtraMile Arena, where they have a strong historical advantage.
- Boise State is motivated to maintain home dominance early in the season; Montana State seeks to rebound from a rough 0-2 away start but faces tough circumstances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boise State: -2000, Montana State: +980 | Boise State | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Boise State: -15.5 -110, Montana State: +15.5 -110 | Boise State -15.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 149.5 -115, Under: 149.5 -105 | Under 149.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boise State Broncos -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 149.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 149.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boise State to win moneyline, cover the -15.5 spread, and the game to go under 149.5 points.
Predicted Score: Boise State 87 – Montana State 61