Match Analysis: Binghamton Bearcats vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Koessler Athletic Center, Buffalo, NY
Game Overview
The game features the Binghamton Bearcats hosting the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks. Both teams have struggled early this season with Binghamton at 2-4 and Maryland-Eastern Shore at 2-5. The Bears are slight favorites with home advantage and stronger odds but both teams have recent losing streaks in similar conditions. The total points line reflects expectations of a moderately scored game with defensive vulnerabilities from both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Binghamton Bearcats are 2-4 on the season, showing inconsistency but have covered the spread in 2 of their last 5 games. Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks are 2-5, allowing 84 points per game on average and shooting 41.4% from the field, with poor free throw and three-point shooting percentages (61.6% and 29.7%). Both teams have lost multiple recent games and statistical performance favors Binghamton slightly especially at home.
- Limited recent direct matchup data with no recent wins for Binghamton found in last 5 matchups, but Maryland-Eastern Shore has lost its last six day games against non-conference opponents. Conversely, Binghamton has lost their last three day games, indicating a balanced recent performance under similar conditions.
- No specific injuries reported for either team in the provided data, so lineups are expected to be at full strength.
- The game is held indoors at Koessler Athletic Center, negating weather factors. Public betting heavily favors Binghamton on moneyline with 100% of public bets on the home side, which might influence line movements. Both teams have underwhelming shooting percentages suggesting pace and scoring may be controlled.
- Both teams have subpar records and will be motivated to improve standings early in the season. Maryland-Eastern Shore looks to break negative day game trends, whereas Binghamton aims to capitalize on home advantage and push momentum after recent close games.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Binghamton Bearcats: -420, Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks: 310 | Binghamton Bearcats Win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Binghamton Bearcats: -8.5 -105, Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks: +8.5 -115 | Binghamton Bearcats to cover -8.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 128.5 -118, Under: 128.5 -106 | Over 128.5 points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Binghamton Bearcats -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 128.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 128.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Binghamton Bearcats are predicted to win by covering the spread with a moderately high confidence due to home court advantage, slightly better recent performance, and favorable moneyline odds. The over/under is expected to go over 128.5 based on recent scoring trends in similar matchups.
Predicted Score: Binghamton Bearcats 74 – Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks 64