Match Analysis: Belmont Bruins vs Tennessee St Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Curb Event Center, Nashville, TN
Game Overview
Belmont Bruins host Tennessee State Tigers in a mid-major NCAAB matchup on Saturday, November 8, 2025. Both teams enter the game with 1-0 records, but Belmont holds a dominant head-to-head edge and is favored at home. The game is expected to be a test of Belmont's offensive efficiency versus Tennessee State's defensive prowess.
Key Factors to Consider
- Belmont opened the season with a 79-63 win over Air Force, shooting 47.3% from the field and 84% from the free-throw line. Sam Orme led with 21 points, 5 rebounds, and 4 assists. Tennessee State demolished Fisk 101-50, shooting 51.3% from the field and dominating the boards. Carlous Williams and Travis Harper II each scored 15 points, with Harper grabbing 15 rebounds. Belmont's offense is efficient, but depth and turnover control remain early-season questions. Tennessee State's defense was stifling against a weak opponent, but their ability to handle a stronger mid-major attack is unproven.
- Belmont has won 9 of the last 10 meetings, including an 87-67 victory in their most recent matchup. The Bruins have consistently controlled the tempo and outscored Tennessee State in both halves.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Belmont enjoys a strong home-court advantage at the Curb Event Center. The game is broadcast on ESPN+, indicating a higher level of exposure and potential for increased home crowd support.
- Belmont is motivated to continue their dominance over Tennessee State and establish themselves as a top mid-major. Tennessee State seeks to break their losing streak against Belmont and prove they can compete with stronger programs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Belmont Bruins: -1100, Tennessee St Tigers: 700 | Belmont Bruins | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Belmont Bruins: -12.5 -118, Tennessee St Tigers: 12.5 -102 | Belmont Bruins -12.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 157.5 -110, Under: 157.5 -110 | Under 157.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Belmont Bruins 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 157.5 34% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 157.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Belmont is expected to control the game with their efficient offense and home-court advantage. Tennessee State may keep it close in the first half but is unlikely to match Belmont's depth and consistency over 40 minutes. The game is projected to be lower scoring due to Belmont's pace and Tennessee State's defensive strength.
Predicted Score: Belmont 78, Tennessee State 64
