Match Analysis: Belmont Bruins vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-24
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Alico Arena, Fort Myers
Game Overview
The Belmont Bruins (5-0) host the St. Francis (PA) Red Flash (0-4) in a college basketball NCAAB matchup where Belmont is heavily favored. Belmont has been dominant with a strong home record and comprehensive victories, while St. Francis has struggled significantly, with losses in all games including recent double-digit defeats.
Key Factors to Consider
- Belmont is undefeated, averaging around 83 points per game while allowing approximately 64 points, showing strong defense and efficient scoring. St. Francis averages roughly 67.5 points but concedes about 87 points, indicating defensive challenges. Belmont’s recent 96-49 home blowout showcases their offensive firepower. St. Francis, on the other hand, was last beaten 79-62 on the road.
- Recent direct matchups show Belmont overwhelmingly superior with multiple wins and large margins. St. Francis has not secured a victory against Belmont recently, emphasizing a clear trend favoring Belmont.
- No specific injury reports found, suggesting both teams are likely at full strength going into the game.
- Belmont enjoys home court advantage at Alico Arena with strong fan support and a higher power rating (#110 vs #361 for St. Francis). St. Francis faces tough travel and has a weak away rating (#358). Strength of schedule favors Belmont's momentum and conditioning.
- Belmont looks motivated to maintain their perfect season start, bolstered by confidence from recent dominant wins. St. Francis aims to break their losing streak but face serious uphill odds against an elite Belmont team.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Belmont Bruins: -2400, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: 1200 | Belmont Bruins to win | ★★★★★ 92% |
| Spread | Belmont Bruins: -19.5 -112, St. Francis (PA) Red Flash: +19.5 -108 | Bet on Belmont Bruins covering -19.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -112, Under: 154.5 -108 | Under 154.5 points total | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Belmont Bruins -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 154.5 16% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 154.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Belmont Bruins are expected to win convincingly, potentially by 20 points or more, considering their dominant form and St. Francis’s ongoing struggles. The total points are expected to stay under the 154.5 line due to both Belmont’s controlled offense in recent games and St. Francis’s low scoring.
Predicted Score: Belmont Bruins 83 – St. Francis (PA) Red Flash 63
