Match Analysis: Bellarmine Knights vs Wofford Terriers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Knights Hall, Louisville, KY
Game Overview
The Bellarmine Knights host the Wofford Terriers in a non-conference matchup on November 15, 2025. Both teams enter the game with identical 1-2 records, facing early-season struggles. Wofford is favored by 2.5 points, with the total set at 158.5. The game will be played at Knights Hall, Bellarmine's home court, and broadcast on ESPN+.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wofford has shown offensive inconsistency, averaging 65 points per game while allowing 80 points. Their defense has struggled, giving up 46.8% shooting. Bellarmine has been more efficient from three-point range (30.3%) and free throw line (74.4%), but their overall record is similar. Bellarmine has lost 10 straight Saturday games, while Wofford has lost three of its last four non-conference games. Both teams have struggled defensively, with totals going over in 2 of Bellarmine's last 2 games and 18 of Wofford's last 20 games staying under 157 points.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup. Both teams have played similar opponents, but there is no direct history between Wofford and Bellarmine in the last few seasons.
- No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Bellarmine has a strong home-court advantage, winning 11 of their last 13 home games. The game is being played on a Saturday, a day Bellarmine has struggled historically, losing their last 10 Saturday games. Wofford has won the first half in three of its last four day games against ASUN Conference teams, but has lost the first half in four of its last five non-conference games.
- Both teams are looking to improve their records and build momentum early in the season. Wofford is favored and may be motivated to prove themselves against a home team with a strong recent home record. Bellarmine will be motivated to end their Saturday losing streak and capitalize on their home-court advantage.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Bellarmine Knights: 120, Wofford Terriers: -142 | Wofford Terriers | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Bellarmine Knights: 2.5 -112, Wofford Terriers: -2.5 -108 | Wofford Terriers -2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 158.5 -108, Under: 158.5 -112 | Under 158.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wofford Terriers -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 158.5 33% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 158.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wofford is favored to win this game, but Bellarmine's home-court advantage and recent home performance make this a close contest. The game is likely to be low-scoring, with both teams struggling offensively. Wofford's defense has been porous, but Bellarmine's offensive struggles may keep the score in check. The total is set at 158.5, and given the recent trends, the under is more likely.
Predicted Score: Wofford Terriers 78, Bellarmine Knights 76