Match Analysis: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne vs Saski Baskonia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-03
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Astroballe, Villeurbanne, France
Game Overview
This Euroleague matchup features ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne hosting Saski Baskonia. Baskonia are slight favorites according to bookmaker odds, but ASVEL have home court advantage and will seek to improve their Euroleague start.
Key Factors to Consider
- ASVEL have struggled last season finishing 15th with a 13-21 record, while Baskonia ended slightly better at 14-20. Recent form for both is mixed with Baskonia showing somewhat more consistency. ASVEL tend to have defensive struggles, while Baskonia play a more balanced game.
- In their recent history, Baskonia hold a 7-5 edge against ASVEL, including a notable 111-75 home win in April 2025. ASVEL tends to struggle in the 3rd quarter versus Baskonia, often falling behind.
- No significant injury reports available for either team at the moment, suggesting both could field close to full-strength lineups.
- ASVEL have home court which represents an advantage in Euroleague play. Baskoniaβs travel and adjustment to pace could also impact performance. No notable external disruptions reported.
- Both teams are motivated to start the season strongly to avoid another bottom-table finish. ASVEL will feel pressure to prove improvement at home, while Baskonia look to build on their modest Euroleague success.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Baskonia -136, ASVEL +120 | Baskonia | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Baskonia -3.5 (-110), ASVEL +3.5 (-110) | Baskonia -3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 155.5 (-110), Under 155.5 (-110) | Under 155.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baskonia moneyline and game under total points
Predicted Score: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne 74 – 79 Saski Baskonia