Match Analysis: ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne vs KK Partizan NIS – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-14
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: LDLC Arena
Game Overview
ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne hosts KK Partizan NIS in a crucial Euroleague matchup. Both teams are coming off strong performances, with Partizan showing dominance in recent head-to-head meetings. The game is expected to be competitive, with Partizan favored due to their superior form and depth.
Key Factors to Consider
- ASVEL has shown inconsistency this season, struggling defensively and failing to score efficiently. Partizan, on the other hand, has been dominant, winning their last five games and averaging over 90 points per game. Their defense has also been solid, limiting opponents to under 70 points in three of their last five outings.
- Partizan has won the last five meetings between these teams, including a 93-62 victory in January 2025. ASVEL has not beaten Partizan in their last seven encounters, with an average margin of defeat of 18 points.
- No major injuries reported for either team. Both squads are at full strength, with key players expected to start.
- ASVEL will have home-court advantage, but their recent home record is poor, with only two wins in their last five home games. Partizan has a strong away record, winning four of their last five road games.
- Partizan is fighting for a top spot in the standings, while ASVEL is trying to avoid relegation. Both teams are highly motivated, but Partizan's recent success gives them a psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne: 160, KK Partizan NIS: -200 | KK Partizan NIS | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne: 4.5 -114, KK Partizan NIS: -4.5 -109 | KK Partizan NIS -4.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 165.5 -110, Under: 165.5 -113 | Under 165.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | KK Partizan NIS -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 165.5 32% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 165.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Partizan is expected to win this game, continuing their dominance over ASVEL. The predicted score is 82-95 in favor of Partizan, with the game likely to stay under the total points line due to ASVEL's defensive struggles and Partizan's ability to control the pace.
Predicted Score: 82-95