Match Analysis: AS Monaco vs Žalgiris – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-01
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Palais des Sports René Bougnol, Monaco
Game Overview
Early season Euroleague matchup featuring strong favorite AS Monaco hosting Žalgiris Kaunas, two broadly competitive teams but with Monaco historically dominant in recent meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- AS Monaco has started the season in solid form with 3 wins out of 4 recent fixtures, showing balanced scoring and strong home advantage. Žalgiris has a less consistent start with only 1 win in last 4 Euroleague games, struggling to score efficiently against top-tier defenses.
- Monaco has historically dominated recent encounters, winning 5 of last 8 meetings including a 1-1 split last season. This suggests a psychological and tactical edge for Monaco.
- No significant injuries reported for either side, with both teams expected to field their optimal lineups.
- Monaco playing at home with strong crowd support and good court familiarity. Žalgiris must travel from Lithuania, which could impact preparation and energy levels.
- Monaco motivated to assert dominance early in the Euroleague and secure home wins; Žalgiris fighting to gain momentum but under pressure given underdog status.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | -356 for AS Monaco, +285 for Žalgiris | AS Monaco | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | -115 for Monaco -7.5, -105 for Žalgiris +7.5 | Monaco -7.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Over/under | -110 for both Over and Under 165.5 | Over 165.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | AS Monaco -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 165.5 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 165.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
AS Monaco to win straight up, cover the -7.5 spread, and the game to go Over 165.5 points total
Predicted Score: Monaco 88 – Žalgiris 76