Match Analysis: Army Knights vs Harvard Crimson – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Christl Arena, West Point, NY
Game Overview
The Army Knights host the Harvard Crimson in their first meeting since Harvard’s 70-64 victory in December 2023. Army holds a current record of 1-2 while Harvard is 2-1. Army plays at home in Christl Arena, giving them a potential home-court advantage. Harvard enters the game favored with stronger odds and a better recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Harvard has demonstrated stronger offensive efficiency with notable scorers like C. Pigge averaging around 17 PPG and solid shooting percentages (52.9 FG%, 81.3 FT%). Army's J. Furman leads his team with similar scoring but Army’s overall record and performance have been underwhelming at 1-2. Recent games show Harvard with more decisive wins, including a 73-49 victory on Nov 11. Army narrowly lost to Harvard last season 64-70.
- The only recent meeting was in December 2023, when Harvard edged Army 70-64. There is limited historical data between the two, indicating this is a relatively rare matchup, which can increase unpredictability.
- No specific injury reports or player absences found in the data for either team at this time.
- Playing at Christl Arena provides Army with familiar surroundings and fan support. Weather and travel conditions are normal for both teams, with no significant delays or disruptions reported.
- Army, coming off a losing record and being home, is motivated to redeem and perform better against a strong Ivy League opponent. Harvard, with a better record, aims to continue momentum and demonstrate dominance against mid-major competition.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Army Knights: +195, Harvard Crimson: -238 | Harvard Crimson win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Army Knights +5.5: -105, Harvard Crimson -5.5: -115 | Harvard Crimson -5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 148.5: -110, Under 148.5: -110 | Under 148.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Harvard Crimson -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 148.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Harvard Crimson is favored to win based on current form, stronger recent performances, and odds. Army will contest strongly given home advantage, but Harvard’s consistency and offensive efficiency likely give them the edge.
Predicted Score: Harvard Crimson 76 – Army Knights 69
