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Match Analysis: Army Knights vs Duke Blue Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 11, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Christl Arena, West Point, New York
Game Overview
The Duke Blue Devils (2-0), ranked No. 4, travel to face the Army Black Knights (1-1) in a heavily lopsided matchup. Duke enters undefeated with dominant wins, most recently defeating Western Carolina 95-54 at home. Army comes off a road loss to St. Thomas-Minnesota (83-76) and seeks to rebound at home. This game features one of the largest point spreads in college basketball, reflecting Duke's significant superiority. Duke is favored to win convincingly, though Army will attempt to compete against a powerhouse opponent.[1][2][3][4]
Key Factors to Consider
- Duke has been explosive offensively, averaging 85 points per game while maintaining strong defense (57 points allowed per game). The Blue Devils have covered the spread in both games and demonstrated consistent excellence. Army averages 74.5 points per game and has shown inconsistency, alternating between a win and loss to start the season. Key scorers for Army include Kevin McCarthy and Jackson Furman (16 PPG each) and Jacen Holloway (14.5 PPG), while Ryan Curry leads with 7 assists per game. Tate Laczkowski provides rebounding support at 8.5 RPG.[4]
- Duke dominates the historical matchup, winning 100% of their last three meetings against Army. Most recently, Duke won 100-58, showcasing their overwhelming superiority. Army has not covered the +31.5 spread in their last three meetings, though they did cover the spread in 2 of 3 games against this specific line, suggesting Army may keep this game somewhat closer to the spread.[3]
- No significant injuries are documented in the provided search results. Both teams appear to have their full rosters available for competition.[6]
- This is a road game for Duke but a home game for Army at Christl Arena. Duke historically performs better in away games (9-2-0 ATS last season) compared to home games (11-6-0 ATS), which could be a slight advantage for covering the spread in this context. The game airs on CBSSN, a cable network that may affect viewership.[2][4]
- Army is motivated to bounce back after a close loss and defend their home court against a blue-blood program. Duke seeks to remain undefeated and extend their dominance. Duke's ranking and undefeated status suggest high motivation to maintain their elite status. Army's motivation to avoid a blowout loss at home provides some incentive to compete.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Duke N/A (heavily favored, likely -5000 or higher); Army N/A (heavy underdog) | Duke Blue Devils | ★★★★★ 95% |
| Spread | Army +31.5 (-120); Duke -31.5 (-102) | Duke -31.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 149.5 (-110); Under 149.5 (-110) | Under 149.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Duke Blue Devils win convincingly with strong offensive execution and defensive pressure. The Blue Devils' elite talent, perfect record, and historical dominance over Army make this a highly predictable outcome. Duke should control the game from start to finish, though Army may keep the final margin closer than the spread suggests by competing in the second half and avoiding complete collapse. Win probability for Duke: 92.4%.[2]
Predicted Score: Duke 87, Army 55 (Duke wins by 32 points)
