Match Analysis: Arkansas Razorbacks vs Jackson St Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville
Game Overview
Arkansas Razorbacks (4-1) host Jackson State Tigers (0-4) in a non-conference matchup. Arkansas is favored heavily, with a spread of -29.5 and a total set at 160.5 points. The Razorbacks are coming off a narrow win over Winthrop, while Jackson State suffered a blowout loss to Auburn. The game airs on SEC Network+.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arkansas averages 86.2 points per game, shoots 47.1% from the field, and allows 72 points per game. They are strong on the boards (39.6 rebounds per game) and assist well (16.4 per game). Jackson State averages only 60.5 points per game, shoots 35% from the field, and allows 100 points per game. Their defense is weak, and they struggle offensively.
- No recent head-to-head history is available for these teams.
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- Arkansas is at home, which historically boosts their performance and ATS record. The game is played at Bud Walton Arena, a tough environment for visiting teams.
- Arkansas is motivated to maintain their strong start and avoid any upsets. Jackson State is seeking their first win of the season and hoping to end a four-game losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arkansas -10000, Jackson State +10000 | Arkansas Razorbacks | β β β β β 98% |
| Spread | Arkansas -29.5 -110, Jackson State 29.5 -110 | Arkansas Razorbacks cover | β β β β β 85% |
| Over/under | Over 160.5 -115, Under 160.5 -105 | Under 160.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 160.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 160.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arkansas is expected to dominate this game, with a high probability of covering the spread and winning outright. The total is likely to stay under 160.5 points due to Jackson State's offensive struggles and Arkansas's defensive strength.
Predicted Score: Arkansas 82, Jackson State 66