Match Analysis: Arizona Wildcats vs Florida Gators – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-04
 - Time: 12:00 AM UTC
 - Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
 
Game Overview
Season opener between nationally competitive Florida Gators and Arizona Wildcats, held at a neutral venue. Florida enters as slight favorite with stronger preseason expectations and deeper roster depth.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams are 0-0 with no recent games; Florida is viewed as a national championship contender with +1700 odds while Arizona has +3500 odds. Florida's roster is deep and well-coached while Arizona is adjusting after key player loss (Krivas out for season).
 - No recent H2H data available for the 2025/26 season opener. Prior historical matchups favor Florida slightly due to consistency and coaching experience.
 - Arizona is missing Motiejus Krivas (center) for the season due to leg injury. Florida has no significant injuries reported, giving them an advantage in interior defense and depth.
 - Neutral site (Las Vegas) with high-profile opening night atmosphere. Public betting heavily on Florida (some books showing 100% money on Florida), indicating sharp consensus.
 - Florida motivated to maintain top contender status early in the season; Arizona eager to start strong despite key injury. Early season neutral site tilt favors Florida's depth and experience.
 
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence | 
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona Wildcats: +150, Florida Gators: -180 | Florida Gators | β β β β β 76% | 
| Spread | Arizona Wildcats +3.5: -105, Florida Gators -3.5: -115 | Florida Gators -3.5 | β β β β β 72% | 
| Over/under | Over 159.5: -110, Under 159.5: -110 | Over 159.5 | β β β ββ 65% | 
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick | 
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Florida Gators -7% | 
| Spread | N/A | 
| Over/Under | Over 159.5 5% | 
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 159.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Florida Gators to win straight up, cover the 3.5 spread, and game total to go over 159.5 points.
Predicted Score: Florida Gators 82 – Arizona Wildcats 77