Match Analysis: Arizona St Sun Devils vs Georgia St Panthers - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-18
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Desert Financial Arena, Tempe
Game Overview
The Arizona State Sun Devils (2-1) host the Georgia State Panthers (1-3) with the Sun Devils heavily favored due to stronger recent performance and home advantage. Arizona State is coming off solid defensive showings and has controlled tempo in most games, while Georgia State has struggled offensively.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona State is 2-1 overall and against the spread in last 5 games, showing solid home performance and a strong defense restricting games to under totals recently. Georgia State is 1-3, struggling on both ends with losses featuring low scoring margins and under totals.
- Previous matchups heavily favor Arizona State, with the Sun Devils consistently winning and covering against Georgia State, leveraging home court advantage effectively.
- No significant injury reports impacting starting lineups for either team have been indicated in recent data, suggesting both teams should be near full strength.
- Home court advantage strongly benefits Arizona State, playing at Desert Financial Arena with supportive home crowd and no travel fatigue. Georgia Stateβs road struggles persist.
- Arizona State aims to maintain momentum and prove dominance at home early in the season, while Georgia State seeks to upset the spread but lacks recent form and confidence.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -4000 (Arizona State), +1400 (Georgia State) | Arizona State Sun Devils | β β β β β 88% |
| Spread | -18.5 -110 (Arizona State), +18.5 -110 (Georgia State) | Arizona State Sun Devils -18.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 146.5 -106, Under 146.5 -114 | Under 146.5 | β β β β β 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona St Sun Devils 1235% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 146.5 28% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Arizona St Sun Devils at 1235% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 88.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona State Sun Devils to win by more than 18.5 points, and the game total to go under 146.5 points
Predicted Score: Arizona State Sun Devils 80 - 61 Georgia State Panthers
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