Match Analysis: Anadolu Efes vs Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: Basketball Development Centre, Istanbul, Turkiye
Game Overview
Anadolu Efes hosts Olimpia Milano in a EuroLeague matchup with both teams looking to solidify their standings. Efes is favored at home, but Milano has shown resilience in recent meetings and is considered a dangerous underdog.
Key Factors to Consider
- Anadolu Efes has been strong at home this season, showing consistent scoring and defensive efficiency. Olimpia Milano has struggled on the road but has improved defensively in recent games, holding opponents under 80 points in three of their last five away outings.
- Efes leads the recent H2H, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings. However, Milano covered the spread in 3 of those 5 games, including a 10-point loss in their most recent encounter. The average margin in those games is 8.2 points, suggesting Milano is competitive even in defeat.
- No major injuries reported for either team. Both squads are at full strength, which increases the reliability of recent form and statistical trends.
- Efes enjoys a strong home-court advantage in Istanbul, where crowd support is a significant factor. Milano is traveling from Italy, which may impact their rhythm, but they have shown the ability to adapt to hostile environments.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning, making this a high-stakes contest. Efes is motivated to maintain their home dominance, while Milano seeks to prove they can compete with top-tier EuroLeague sides on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -182, away: 145 | Anadolu Efes | Not available |
| Spread | home: -4, away: 4 | Olimpia Milano +4 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 162, under: 162 | Under 162 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anadolu Efes 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 162 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 162 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Anadolu Efes wins but struggles to cover the spread, with Olimpia Milano keeping the game close and the total under the line.
Predicted Score: 82-78