Match Analysis: Anadolu Efes vs Maccabi Tel Aviv – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-30
- Time: 5:45 PM UTC
- Location: Sportski Centar Moraca, Podgorica
Game Overview
This Euroleague match features Anadolu Efes hosting Maccabi Tel Aviv in Round 1 of the 2025-26 season. Anadolu Efes is slight favorite playing without home-court advantage as the game is relocated to Podgorica. Both teams have solid Euroleague pedigrees with recent history of competitive matchups. The game is expected to be high-paced and competitive given the teams' styles and quality rosters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Anadolu Efes finished last season with a 17-14 record and currently on a five-game winning streak in Euroleague play, showcasing strong form. Maccabi Tel Aviv ended with 10-21 but had a mixed recent 5-5 run, indicating inconsistency. Anadolu Efes tends to outperform Tel Aviv in scoring efficiency and defensive metrics this season in Euroleague context.
- Recent head-to-head in Euroleague is evenly split at 50-50 in wins, with both teams winning each other in recent meetings (e.g., matches in last two years). This indicates a balanced rivalry making this matchup unpredictable and strategic.
- No prominent injury reports or suspensions for either Anadolu Efes or Maccabi Tel Aviv have been noted leading up to the game, suggesting both squads will field their strongest available lineups.
- The relocation of Anadolu Efes' home game to Podgorica removes traditional home crowd advantage but neutralizes some pressure. Travel and venue familiarity could slightly favor Maccabi Tel Aviv, though both teams are experienced in playing at neutral venues.
- Anadolu Efes will be motivated to start the season strong and leverage their Euroleague experience, while Maccabi Tel Aviv aims to establish momentum early to improve from prior season struggles, adding competitive intensity to this fixture.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anadolu Efes: -320, Maccabi Tel Aviv: 260 | Anadolu Efes | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Anadolu Efes -7.5: -110, Maccabi Tel Aviv +7.5: -110 | Anadolu Efes -7.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 171.5: -110, Under 171.5: -110 | Over 171.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anadolu Efes -15% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 171.5 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 171.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Anadolu Efes is favored to win due to current form, superior recent performance, and stronger overall team metrics despite the neutral venue. An estimated 65% confidence in Anadolu Efes winning the moneyline is appropriate.
Predicted Score: Anadolu Efes 89 – 79 Maccabi Tel Aviv