Match Analysis: American Eagles vs Pennsylvania Quakers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bender Arena, Washington, DC
Game Overview
Early-season matchup between American Eagles (0-1), coming off a road loss to Wake Forest, and Pennsylvania Quakers (1-0), who blew out Rowan in their opener. Both teams are seeking momentum but have questions offensively. American is at home and historically strong in this building, while Penn has shown scoring punch but is adjusting to roster turnover[1].
Key Factors to Consider
- Penn is averaging 119 points (54.9% shooting) but has only played one game (vs. Rowan). American lost 74-88 at Wake Forest but competed in stretches. Pennβs Ethan Roberts is a scoring leader (28 ppg), while Americanβs Matt Nausadis recently posted 22 in his last outing. Penn allows 72 ppg (35.3% opponent shooting) and is strong on the boards (59 rpg). American is elite from the free throw line and has more experience, especially in close games[1][3]. Pennβs turnover issues and defensive rebounding could be expose against Americanβs steady style.
- No known prior meetings between these teams[3].
- No significant injuries reported for either team.
- American enjoys a strong home-court edge at Bender Arena. Penn is on the road for its second straight game. No travel or weather concerns reported.
- Both teams seek early-season momentum. American wants to avoid 0-2 start; Penn aims for 2-0 and to build profile for NCAA/NIT consideration.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | American -118, Penn -102 | American Eagles | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | American -1.5 -102, Penn +1.5 -118 | Pennsylvania Quakers +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 156.5 -110, Under 156.5 -110 | Under 156.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | American Eagles 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 156.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 156.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Americanβs home strength, experience, and ability to compete with higher-level opponents (Wake Forest) gives them a slight edge over a Penn team thatβs offensively explosive but still adjusting to new roles and with defensive lapses. Expect a close, low-scoring game below the total.
Predicted Score: American Eagles 72, Pennsylvania Quakers 71