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Match Analysis: Alabama Crimson Tide vs Maryland Terrapins – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-27
- Time: 4:59 AM UTC
- Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Game Overview
The Alabama Crimson Tide (ranked No. 8) faces the Maryland Terrapins in the Players Era Festival Championship. Alabama enters with a 4-2 record, including a strong recent win against UNLV (115-76), while Maryland holds a 5-2 record with competitive games against top teams like Gonzaga. Alabama is favored to win with a significant point spread, highlighting their strong offensive and defensive capabilities.
Key Factors to Consider
- Alabama average top scorer is L. Philon Jr. with 20.7 PPG and strong shooting percentages (55.6 FG%, 56.5 FT%). Alabama has demonstrated a dominant offensive performance, notably a 115-76 win over UNLV. Maryland's top scorer P. Payne averages 17.8 PPG with solid shooting (69.4 FG%, 79.6 FT%). Maryland has faced tougher competition recently but shows resilience.
- Recent direct matchups data is limited for this exact matchup at this tournament, but historic competitive games between Alabama and Maryland suggest closely contested outcomes with Alabama holding a slight edge due to ranking and form.
- No significant injuries reported for either team at this time, allowing both to field near full-strength lineups.
- The match is played at a neutral venue (MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas), minimizing home-court advantage. Maryland is playing their third game and third consecutive night game in three days, which may impact player stamina versus Alabama's relatively fresher roster.
- With the championship title at stake in the Players Era Festival, both teams are highly motivated. Alabama aims to consolidate their top 10 ranking with a strong tournament win, while Maryland seeks to prove their resilience after recent tough losses and prove themselves against a top-ranked opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alabama Crimson Tide: -110, Maryland Terrapins: +110 | Alabama Crimson Tide to win | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Alabama Crimson Tide: -13.5 -110, Maryland Terrapins: +13.5 -110 | Alabama Crimson Tide to cover -13.5 spread | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 163.5 -110, Under: 163.5 -110 | Over 163.5 total points | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 163.5 -99% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Alabama Crimson Tide will win with a strong margin due to superior recent offensive output, better rest, and higher ranking. Maryland is expected to compete well but fall short against Alabamaβs depth and scoring ability.
Predicted Score: Alabama Crimson Tide 85 – Maryland Terrapins 70