Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Yale Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-25
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Virgin Islands (Neutral Site)
Game Overview
The Akron Zips face off against the Yale Bulldogs in a neutral-site matchup during the Virgin Islands Paradise Jam. Both teams enter the contest with strong records, Akron at 5-1 and Yale at 5-1, having each won their last two games. Akron comes off a dominant 97-59 win over Evansville, while Yale defeated Charleston 74-63. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams showing offensive efficiency and solid defensive performances recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Akron has averaged 94.6 points per game and allowed just 72.6 points per game this season, shooting 56% from the field in their last outing. Yale averages 86.0 points per game and allows 72.0 points per game, with Nick Townsend leading their offense. Akronβs recent blowout win and consistent scoring suggest a slight edge in offensive firepower and defensive intensity.
- No recent head-to-head meetings are available, but both teams have strong records against non-AP-ranked opponents at neutral venues. Akron has won 26 of its last 27 such games, while Yale has won 9 of its last 10.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- The game is being played at a neutral site in the Virgin Islands, which may slightly favor Akron due to their recent dominance in neutral-site matchups. Both teams are well-rested and motivated for a strong showing in this tournament.
- Both teams are seeking to build momentum in the Paradise Jam and improve their national profile. Akronβs recent blowout win and strong defensive showing provide added confidence, while Yale looks to bounce back after a close loss to Rhode Island.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Akron Zips: -104, Yale Bulldogs: -115 | Akron Zips | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Akron Zips: 1.5 -122, Yale Bulldogs: -1.5 100 | Akron Zips ATS | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 154.5 -110, Under: 154.5 -110 | Over | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Akron Zips 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 154.5 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 154.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Akron is favored to win this matchup due to their superior offensive output, recent blowout victory, and strong defensive performance. Yaleβs offense is potent, but Akronβs ability to stifle opponents and their recent form give them the edge. The game is expected to be close, but Akron should cover the spread and push the total over the line.
Predicted Score: Akron Zips 84, Yale Bulldogs 76