Match Analysis: Air Force Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Clune Arena, Colorado Springs, Colorado
Game Overview
The Air Force Falcons (0-3) host the Miami (OH) RedHawks (2-0) in an NCAA basketball game. Miami (OH) enters undefeated with strong offensive production, averaging over 100 points recently, while Air Force struggles offensively with a 0-3 record and lower scoring outputs. Miami (OH) is heavily favored both by odds and performance metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami (OH) boasts a strong offensive presence, scoring 108 points per game across their two wins, while maintaining solid defensive metrics such as allowing shooting percentages around 34.6%. Meanwhile, Air Force has offensive struggles, averaging 63 points per game with shooting efficiency around 43.3%, and has conceded strong rebounding and shooting performances recently.
- Previous matchups show Miami (OH) as dominant against Air Force, with Miami consistently winning and covering spreads comfortably in recent contests.
- No major injuries reported for either team that would significantly impact the outcome or key players.
- The game is played at Air Force's home arena, Clune Arena, possibly providing some home crowd energy support to Air Force. However, Miami's momentum and overall superior form offset this home court advantage.
- Air Force looks to break their losing streak and secure their first win, motivated by home support. Miami (OH) aims to extend their undefeated start, riding high on strong offensive output and recently dominant performances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Air Force Falcons: +410, Miami (OH) RedHawks: -550 | Miami (OH) RedHawks win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Air Force Falcons: +11.5 (-110), Miami (OH) RedHawks: -11.5 (-110) | Miami (OH) RedHawks -11.5 | β β β β β 80% |
| Over/under | Over: 143.5 (-115), Under: 143.5 (-105) | Over 143.5 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 143.5 31% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 143.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawks are predicted to win convincingly with a strong offensive display while covering the spread. The game is expected to go over the total points line, reflecting the offensive capabilities of Miami (OH) and Air Force's defensive vulnerabilities.
Predicted Score: Miami (OH) RedHawks 94 – Air Force Falcons 58