Match Analysis: Air Force Falcons vs Austin Peay Governors – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Clune Arena, Colorado Springs, CO
Game Overview
Air Force hosts Austin Peay in a non-conference matchup. Austin Peay enters off a dominant 128-47 win, while Air Force lost their opener. Both teams are early in the season, with Austin Peay showing explosive offensive efficiency and Air Force facing questions about defensive consistency.
Key Factors to Consider
- Austin Peay shot 56.6% from the field and 47.6% from three in their opener, dishing 33 assists and forcing 36 turnovers. Air Force struggled defensively in their loss, allowing high efficiency and failing to generate turnovers. Austin Peayβs bench depth and transition play were major strengths.
- No recent H2H data available; this is a rare matchup.
- No reported injuries for either team.
- Game is at Clune Arena (Air Force home court), which features high altitude. Austin Peayβs road conditioning may be tested, but their depth could offset this. Air Force is more disciplined, but Austin Peayβs transition speed could disrupt their half-court sets.
- Austin Peay is riding high after a blowout win and seeks to prove themselves on the road. Air Force is motivated to bounce back after a loss and protect home court.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -115, away: -105 | Austin Peay Governors | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | home: -1.5 102, away: 1.5 -122 | Austin Peay Governors +1.5 | β β β β β 74% |
| Over/under | over: 138.5 -110, under: 138.5 -110 | Over 138.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Austin Peay Governors 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 138.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 138.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Austin Peayβs offensive firepower, depth, and turnover-forcing defense give them a clear edge, even on the road. Air Forceβs slower pace and defensive struggles make it unlikely they can match Austin Peayβs scoring output. Expect Austin Peay to win outright and cover the spread.
Predicted Score: Austin Peay 76, Air Force 64