Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 11, 2025
- Time: 5:35 PM UTC
- Location: Nationals Park
Game Overview
The Washington Nationals host the St. Louis Cardinals in the final game of a three-game set. The Cardinals look to continue their recent form after winning on May 10, while the Nationals seek to bounce back. Probable starting pitchers are Mackenzie Gore for the Nationals and Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Nationals have struggled in recent games, while the Cardinals are showing some improvement. The matchup between Gore and Mikolas could be crucial, given Gore's better ERA.
- Recent head-to-head results show the Cardinals winning on May 10, so they might have the psychological advantage going into this game.
- No significant injury updates have been reported, but ongoing player health could affect team strategy and performance.
- The home crowd at Nationals Park could provide a boost for the Nationals, but the Cardinals' recent win gives them momentum.
- Both teams will be highly motivated, as each win matters in the competitive NL and NL Central standings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals +129, Washington Nationals -142 | Washington Nationals | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 -170, Washington Nationals -1.5 149 | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 -110, Under 8.5 -110 | Under 8.5 | β β β ββ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Washington Nationals -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Washington Nationals are slightly favored, but the Cardinals' recent performance suggests a competitive game.
Predicted Score: Nationals 4, Cardinals 3