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Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 3:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC

Game Overview

The Washington Nationals host the Boston Red Sox in an MLB matchup. Both teams have shown mixed form this season, with Boston slightly below .500 away and Washington showing tendencies toward high scoring games recently. This series is crucial as both teams seek momentum in the mid-season stretch.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Boston Red Sox have a 41-47 record this season (47% win rate) with an away performance of 0-4 in the last 10 games. They average 4.3 runs scored and 4.77 runs allowed on the road. Washington Nationals have had over 8.5 runs in their last 6 games, indicating strong recent offensive output.
  • Recent season matchups favor a competitive balance. No detailed historic head-to-head stats provided, but Boston has struggled on the road recently while Washington appears to be capitalizing offensively at home.
  • No specific injury reports available for either team in the provided data; assume standard roster availability.
  • Game is played at Nationals Park in Washington, DC, providing home advantage to the Nationals. Weather or other environmental factors are not specified.
  • Both teams are in the middle of the season and will be motivated to improve standings. Boston seeks to overcome poor away form, while Washington aims to maintain offensive momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston Red Sox: -108, Washington Nationals: -108 Washington Nationals win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Boston Red Sox: -1.5 @ 146, Washington Nationals: +1.5 @ -176 Washington Nationals +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5: -115, Under 8.5: -105 Over 8.5 runs ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Washington Nationals 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Washington Nationals are favored to win due to stronger recent offensive trends and home field advantage. The expected outcome is a moderately high scoring game with Washington edging Boston.

Predicted Score: Washington Nationals 6 – Boston Red Sox 5


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Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-04 Time: 3:06 PM UTC Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC Game Overview The Washington Nationals host the Boston Red Sox in an MLB matchup. Both teams have shown mixed form this season, with Boston slightly below .500 away and Washington showing tendencies […]

Baseball Boston Red Sox July 4, 2025 Washington Nationals

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Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 4, 2025
  • Time: 11:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Truist Park

Game Overview

The Atlanta Braves face the Baltimore Orioles in a highly anticipated MLB matchup. The Braves will start Spencer Strider, while the Orioles will counter with Charlie Morton.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Braves have a more consistent recent performance, with Strider offering a competitive ERA of 3.86. The Orioles' Morton has a higher ERA of 5.63.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not specified, but the Braves generally have an advantage given their home field and stronger pitching.
  • No significant injury updates are reported for this matchup.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support may favor the Braves at home.
  • The Braves are motivated to win at home, while the Orioles seek to upset on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -174, Baltimore Orioles 146 Atlanta Braves ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Atlanta Braves -1.5 +114, Baltimore Orioles +1.5 -137 Atlanta Braves -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 8.5 -122, Under 8.5 100 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 51%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlanta Braves at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Braves are likely to win based on their home advantage and pitching performance.

Predicted Score: Braves 6, Orioles 3


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Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 11:11 PM UTC
  • Location: loanDepot park, Miami, FL

Game Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers (48-39) face the Miami Marlins (39-46) at loanDepot park in Miami on July 4, 2025, with a 7:10 p.m. ET start time (23:11:00Z). The Brewers have a better record and enter as favorites, led by starting pitcher Quinn Priester (6-2, 3.35 ERA). The Marlins counter with Sandy Alcantara (4-8, 6.98 ERA), who has struggled this season. The game marks the start of a home series for the Marlins against the Brewers and features military appreciation night, potentially adding motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Milwaukee Brewers hold a stronger overall season record (48-39) compared to Miami Marlins (39-46). The Brewers have been consistent with a solid pitching staff and better runs allowed. Miami has underperformed, especially in games started by Alcantara, who has a high ERA of 6.98 and a losing record.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Milwaukee currently holds the edge due to stronger season performance and pitching matchups. Miami has struggled against similar caliber teams and especially when Alcantara starts.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team leading into this matchup, allowing both to field their expected starters and regulars.
  • The game is at Miami's home park which could favor the Marlins slightly due to familiarity, fan support, and the special event (Military Appreciation Night) potentially boosting home team morale.
  • The Brewers aim to continue their winning trajectory to secure playoff positioning, while the Marlins look to leverage home games and special event atmosphere to improve their sub-.500 record and build confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Miami Marlins: +100, Milwaukee Brewers: -118 Milwaukee Brewers win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Miami Marlins +1.5: -176, Milwaukee Brewers -1.5: +146 Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 8: -118, Under 8: -104 Under 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers are favored to win given stronger pitching, better recent results, and slightly better odds. The predicted score is a close game, but Brewers should edge out the Marlins.

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – Miami Marlins 3


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Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 11:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Game Overview

The Cleveland Guardians will host the Detroit Tigers at Progressive Field. The Guardians are aiming to leverage their home advantage against a Tigers team currently leading their division. Both teams exhibit competitive form heading into this mid-season matchup, with the Tigers known for strong pitching on the road and the Guardians eager to close the gap in the division standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Detroit Tigers hold a strong overall record of 54-33 with impressive away pitching (ERA 1.73), second-best in MLB, while their hitting shows some weaknesses such as a low batting average on the first pitch but strong OBP against left-handed pitchers. Cleveland Guardians have been competitive but specific details on their current form are less detailed in the data provided.
  • Recent matchups indicate a closely contested rivalry with the Guardians looking to cut deeper into the Tigers' division lead after previously winning the first two games in a series context.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this matchup from the provided data, suggesting no major impact players are known to be sidelined.
  • The game will be played at Progressive Field giving the Guardians home field advantage. No weather or other external conditions are noted that could heavily influence the game.
  • The Tigers are motivated by their current lead in the division and strong pitching stats on the road, while the Guardians aim to close the division gap and maintain momentum from recent wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians: -102, Detroit Tigers: -116 Detroit Tigers win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cleveland Guardians +1.5: -176, Detroit Tigers -1.5: 146 Detroit Tigers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 8: -115, Under 8: -105 Under 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Detroit Tigers -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Tigers' superior pitching on the road and their overall strong season record, coupled with the Guardians' home advantage and recent success in the series, the game is predicted to be highly competitive but slightly favors the Detroit Tigers to edge out a win.

Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 4 – 2 Cleveland Guardians


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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Los Angeles Angels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 11:08 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays will host the Los Angeles Angels at Rogers Centre in this mid-season MLB matchup. The game is set for the evening of July 4, 2025, local time, featuring two teams with contrasting fortunes this season. The Blue Jays, playing at home, are favored, reflecting their stronger recent performances and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Toronto Blue Jays have shown solid form at home this season, leveraging the Rogers Centre's conditions effectively. The Los Angeles Angels have struggled somewhat on the road but possess key offensive weapons that can change the game's momentum. Both teams have fluctuated in pitching consistency, which will be pivotal in this matchup.
  • In recent meetings, the Blue Jays have generally outperformed the Angels, particularly at home. Historically, the Blue Jays have a favorable record against the Angels in Toronto, contributing to their edge in this game.
  • No significant injury reports are noted for either team affecting key starters or impact players for this matchup, suggesting both teams will field their usual lineups.
  • The game being part of a series between these teams at the Rogers Centre means the Blue Jays have the home crowd advantage. Weather and stadium conditions are typical for early July in Toronto, likely neutral for gameplay.
  • The Blue Jays are motivated to capitalize on their home stand to strengthen their standings. The Angels aim to derail the Blue Jays' momentum and improve their road record, adding intensity to this contest.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Los Angeles Angels: 136, Toronto Blue Jays: -162 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Los Angeles Angels +1.5: -146, Toronto Blue Jays -1.5: 122 Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 9.5: -105, Under 9.5: -115 Under 9.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays to win by a narrow margin, leveraging home advantage and pitching depth.

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 5 – 3 Los Angeles Angels


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San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs Texas Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 10:41 PM UTC
  • Location: Petco Park

Game Overview

The San Diego Padres host the Texas Rangers on July 4, 2025. The Padres are favored to win, looking to maintain their momentum in the competitive NL West. The Rangers, struggling with offensive woes, aim to upset their hosts. The game features intriguing betting opportunities due to contrasting team trajectories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Padres have a strong record of 46-40, while the Rangers are 43-44. The Padres' recent performance and home advantage make them favorites.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not available, but the series often presents competitive matches.
  • No significant injury updates are available that would impact the current odds or predictions.
  • The fourth of July Independence Day atmosphere may energize the Padres' home crowd, potentially affecting the Rangers' performance.
  • The Padres are motivated to win to maintain their position in the NL West, while the Rangers seek to break their slump.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Padres: -120, Rangers: 102 San Diego Padres ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Padres: 1.5 -200, Rangers: -1.5 164 Padres ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 8.5: -122, Under 8.5: 100 Over ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Diego Padres -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

San Diego Padres are likely to win, with the total runs potentially going over due to the Padres' strong offense.

Predicted Score: Padres 5, Rangers 3


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Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, MN

Game Overview

The Minnesota Twins (home, 41-46, 2nd AL Central) host the Tampa Bay Rays (away, 48-39, 3rd AL East) in a mid-season MLB matchup at Target Field. Both teams are seeking momentum, with Tampa Bay holding a stronger overall record but Minnesota looking to capitalize on home advantage[2][4][5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tampa Bay Rays have a better season record (48-39) compared to Minnesota Twins (41-46), indicating stronger overall performance and consistency. However, Twins are at home, which historically boosts performance.
  • Recent head-to-head results are not specifically listed in the available data, but Tampa Bay's superior record suggests favorable recent performance.
  • No specific injury updates for either team are provided in the available sources.
  • The game is scheduled for the afternoon (3:10 PM local), which can impact player performance and pitching strategies, but no extreme weather or external disruptions are reported.
  • Both teams are in the middle of their division standings, with Tampa Bay having a stronger motivation to secure a playoff spot, while Minnesota looks to close the gap and improve their record at home[2][4][5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Minnesota Twins: -116; Tampa Bay Rays: -102 Tampa Bay Rays (slight favorite by odds and performance) ★★★☆☆ 59%
Spread Minnesota Twins: 1.5 -182; Tampa Bay Rays: -1.5 150 Rays to cover the spread (win by >1.5 runs confident in a low-medium confidence context) ★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under Over: 9.5 -120; Under: 9.5 -102 Over 9.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tampa Bay Rays are favored by performance metrics and current momentum, but the home advantage and tight odds suggest a competitive, potentially close game. A slight edge is given to Tampa Bay by this analysis, but a high run total is expected given the over/under line.

Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 6 – Minnesota Twins 5


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Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 4, 2025
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA

Game Overview

The Seattle Mariners face the Pittsburgh Pirates in what promises to be a competitive matchup. The Mariners are favored both on the moneyline and against the spread, reflecting their stronger recent performance. The Pirates, however, have shown resilience in away games, making this a closely watched contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Seattle Mariners have been performing well at home, with a strong lineup and solid pitching. The Pirates have struggled on the road but have shown flashes of brilliance with their pitching.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups have seen both teams trading wins, with no clear dominance in their series.
  • Injury reports are not detailed, but both teams are expected to field their best lineups.
  • Weather conditions and fan support could influence the game, but specifics are not available.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, with the Mariners seeking to solidify their position in the standings and the Pirates looking to gain ground on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Seattle Mariners: -198, Pittsburgh Pirates: 166 Seattle Mariners ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Seattle Mariners: -1.5 +112, Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 -134 Seattle Mariners ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 7.5: 100, Under 7.5: -122 Under 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Mariners -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle Mariners are predicted to win, given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4, Pittsburgh Pirates 3


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New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: New York Mets vs New York Yankees – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 7:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Citi Field, Flushing, NY

Game Overview

The New York Mets will host the New York Yankees at Citi Field on July 4th, 2025. This inter-city rivalry game is part of a multi-game series with both teams eager to gain momentum heading into the mid-season. The Mets are playing at home, with the Yankees as the visiting team. The game promises a competitive matchup considering the historical rivalry and the teams' recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The New York Mets have shown solid performance at home this season, with notable pitching strength and consistent offense. The Yankees have been competitive on the road, with a strong batting lineup but some inconsistency in pitching. Both teams have several key players with positive stats this season.
  • Historically, Mets vs. Yankees matchups are closely contested. Recent encounters have been balanced, with games often decided by narrow margins. The rivalry adds an emotional edge that can affect performance positively or negatively.
  • Current injury reports do not indicate significant starters missing for either team, suggesting both squads will likely field near full-strength lineups.
  • Playing at Citi Field gives the Mets home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be fair, and there are no reported disruptions or unusual factors affecting the game day.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to win this game. The Mets are looking to solidify their standing at home, while the Yankees seek to assert dominance on the road and gain series advantage. The fourth of July date adds additional fan energy and intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York Mets: -110, New York Yankees: -106 New York Mets ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread New York Mets: 1.5 -176, New York Yankees: -1.5 146 New York Yankees -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 9 -122, Under: 9 100 Over 9 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Mets 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage, solid Mets pitching, and balanced offensive output, the New York Mets are slightly favored to win this matchup, though a close Yankees victory is still a strong possibility.

Predicted Score: New York Mets 5 – 4 New York Yankees


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Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-04
  • Time: 6:21 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Game Overview

The Chicago Cubs host the St. Louis Cardinals at Wrigley Field on July 4, 2025, in a highly anticipated MLB matchup. The Cubs' starting pitcher is C. Rea (5-3, 4.37 ERA) while the Cardinals start M. Mikolas (4-5, 4.76 ERA). Both teams are competitive with comparable pitching stats, likely leading to a closely contested game. Betting markets currently favor the Cubs on the moneyline with odds -152, reflecting slight home advantage and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cubs have shown solid performance at home with C. Rea holding a decent 5-3 record and a 4.37 ERA. The Cardinals have a slightly weaker starting pitching line for M. Mikolas at 4-5 and 4.76 ERA. Both teams' recent schedules suggest competitive form but with Cubs holding home advantage and marginally better pitching metrics.
  • Historically, Cubs and Cardinals matchups are tightly contested with a strong rivalry atmosphere. The home field at Wrigley Field often boosts Cubs' performance. Exact recent head-to-head stats for 2025 are not fully detailed but previous seasons tend to be balanced with slight edge to home teams.
  • No explicit injury reports are currently available for either team affecting key players for this matchup. Availability of starters and main roster players is confirmed.
  • The match takes place on a significant date (July 4), which may bring high crowd energy and motivation, especially for the home Cubs. Weather or other venue conditions are not specified but Wrigley Field's outdoor setting can factor into gameplay.
  • Both teams are motivated to win in this regional rivalry game mid-season. The Cubs have motivation to capitalize on home advantage, while Cardinals aim to secure an away victory to boost their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Cubs: -152, St. Louis Cardinals: 128 Chicago Cubs to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Chicago Cubs -1.5: 122, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5: -146 Chicago Cubs -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 10: -105, Under 10: -115 Under 10 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 10 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering pitching matchups, home advantage, and odds, the Chicago Cubs are favored to win with a moderately high confidence. Expect a competitive game with moderate scoring.

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 5 – 3 St. Louis Cardinals


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