Match Analysis: Utah Utes vs TCU Horned Frogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Smith's Ballpark, Salt Lake City, Utah
Game Overview
The NCAA baseball match between Utah Utes and TCU Horned Frogs is set for May 16, 2025, at Smith's Ballpark, Salt Lake City. Utah enters with a sub-.500 overall season record of 20-25 and a weak conference record of 7-19, but they are on a 3-game winning streak. TCU Horned Frogs have a stronger season profile with notable wins and losses mostly in the Big 12 conference and are favored by bookmakers to win this contest based on current moneyline odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah Utes have struggled overall this season, holding a 20-25 record and just 5-8 at home, but they have a recent 3-game winning streak indicating potential momentum. TCU Horned Frogs have had mixed results in a tougher conference but possess strong offensive outputs in recent games, including 17-11 and 13-6 wins. Their away record and experience in close conference competition add to their edge.
- No recent detailed head-to-head statistics available from the provided sources for this specific matchup in 2025, but TCU is traditionally stronger in NCAA baseball schedules and rankings compared to Utah, reflected in betting odds.
- No specific injury reports are available from the current sources for either team ahead of this game, suggesting both teams will likely be near full strength.
- The game is played at a neutral-large venue Smith's Ballpark in Salt Lake City, which is Utah’s home city but a professional stadium. Weather or altitude impacts are not detailed but could favor Utah slightly due to familiarity with local conditions.
- Utah is motivated to leverage their home proximity and break their season below-.500 record. TCU is aiming to continue strong conference performances and assert dominance as an established baseball program with better recent offensive showings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | TCU Horned Frogs: -238, Utah Utes: 180 | TCU Horned Frogs | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | TCU Horned Frogs: -1.5, Utah Utes: +1.5 | TCU Horned Frogs by more than 1.5 runs | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | over: O 8.5, under: U 8.5 | Over 8.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | TCU Horned Frogs -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: TCU Horned Frogs at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
TCU Horned Frogs are favored to win this matchup due to stronger season performance, better offensive metrics, and bookmaker odds. Utah's recent winning streak and home advantage mean an upset is possible but less probable.
Predicted Score: TCU Horned Frogs 7 – Utah Utes 4