Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-13
- Time: 9:04 PM UTC
- Location: Toronto, Canada
Game Overview
The ALCS Game 2 features the Toronto Blue Jays hosting the Seattle Mariners. Toronto, with a stronger home record and favored starting pitching, faces Seattle who leads the series 1-0. Both teams have showed resilience in recent games, but Torontoβs home dominance and pitching edge position them as favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto Blue Jays hold a superior home record (54-27) and have won key recent matchups versus Detroit. Mariners have a decent 39-42 away record but are underdogs today.
- Seattle leads series 1-0; however, Toronto has a strong home advantage and has shown ability to bounce back quickly.
- Seattleβs Woo is recovering from a pectoral injury and his bullpen status is uncertain, weakening Mariners' relief depth. Toronto currently healthy heading into the game.
- Game played at Torontoβs home venue providing environmental and crowd support benefit to Blue Jays. Weather and field conditions typical, no adverse external disruptions.
- With Seattle leading the series, Toronto is highly motivated to even up at home to shift momentum in this pivotal ALCS matchup.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto -134 | Toronto Blue Jays | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Toronto -1.5 152 | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Under 7.5 -105 | Under 7.5 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays moneyline, Toronto -1.5 spread, Under 7.5 runs
Predicted Score: Blue Jays 4 – Mariners 2