Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago Cubs - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 11:07 PM UTC
- Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario
Game Overview
The Toronto Blue Jays host the Chicago Cubs in game two of a three-game interleague series. Toronto enters the game as a slight favorite with strong recent hitting and solid pitching from Kevin Gausman, while Chicago's Cade Horton aims to extend his effective pitching streak.
Key Factors to Consider
- Blue Jays hold a 70-50 record with strong offensive metrics against right-handed pitching recently, posting a 1.011 OPS and 178 wRC+ over 226 plate appearances. Cubs are 67-51, batting .253 overall with a 3.89 team ERA, but have struggled offensively against righties this month.
- Blue Jays won the previous game in the series and have shown dominance over Cubs' pitching, especially against right-handers like Horton in their recent matchups (Horton faces Toronto for the first time).
- No key injuries reported for either team affecting starting lineups or pitchers for this game.
- Game played indoors at Rogers Centre removing weather impact, favorable home conditions for Blue Jays.
- Blue Jays motivated to maintain lead in the series and capitalize on home advantage. Cubs aim to even the series and stop Blue Jays hitting momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays -125, Chicago Cubs +113 | Toronto Blue Jays | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 +157, Chicago Cubs +1.5 -180 | Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105 | Over 8.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays to win outright, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go over 8.5 total runs scored.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6 - Chicago Cubs 4
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