Match Analysis: Texas Longhorns vs Tennessee Volunteers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-22
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFCU Disch-Falk Field, Austin, Texas
Game Overview
The NCAA baseball match between the Texas Longhorns and Tennessee Volunteers features two well-matched teams competing late in the 2025 season. Texas plays at home in Austin, Texas, giving them the home-field advantage. Tennessee is the defending national champion and has a strong schedule this year, facing many high-quality opponents. This matchup is part of the SEC Baseball Tournament, adding significance and intensity to the game.
Key Factors to Consider
- Texas Longhorns have shown resilience with a mix of wins and losses in recent games, including a notable victory over Florida but a recent loss to Oklahoma. Tennessee Volunteers enter as defending national champions with a strong season and tournament experience, showing consistency against top competition.
- Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Tennessee has historically been a strong contender in NCAA baseball and has the psychological edge as defending national champions. Texas's home advantage and performance in key games balance this out.
- No specific injury reports are available for either team in the provided data. Both teams are presumed to have their key players healthy for this crucial tournament game.
- Playing at UFCU Disch-Falk Field favors Texas due to familiarity with field conditions and home crowd support. Weather and other conditions are not mentioned but typically stable for late May in Austin.
- Tennessee, as defending national champions, is highly motivated to repeat their success. Texas aims to leverage home advantage and SEC tournament momentum to advance, making motivation levels on both sides very high.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tennessee Volunteers: -188, Texas Longhorns: 145 | Tennessee Volunteers | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Tennessee Volunteers: -1.5 -130, Texas Longhorns: 1.5 100 | Tennessee Volunteers -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 11 -115, Under: 11 -115 | Under 11 runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tennessee Volunteers -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 11 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 11 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The game is expected to be competitive with Tennessee favored slightly due to tournament experience and recent strong performance, but Texas's home advantage and pitching depth could keep the game close.
Predicted Score: Tennessee Volunteers 5 – Texas Longhorns 3