Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 4:11 PM UTC
- Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field, Tampa, Florida
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals visit the Tampa Bay Rays in an interleague matchup featuring two sub-.500 teams both struggling recently. Tampa Bay is the slight favorite at home, but both teams have identical challenges in recent form and inconsistent pitching performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- St. Louis is 3-7 in last 10 games, with a decent road ATS record (4-2). Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in last 7 games and 1-4 SU in last 5 games but has a stronger bullpen and home advantage.
- Recent H2H data is limited, but Tampa Bay holds home field advantage. Liberatore (StL starter) faces his former team.
- No major injuries reported impacting starters or key lineup members for either side.
- Game played outdoors in Tampa; home team advantage likely significant. Rays recently swept a strong Yankees team, boosting confidence.
- Liberatore pitching against former team could be a motivational edge for Cardinals. Rays aim to capitalize on home field to improve poor recent results.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays -126, St. Louis Cardinals +108 | Tampa Bay Rays | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 +160, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 -194 | Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115 | Over 9 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 Run Line
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 6, St. Louis Cardinals 4