Match Analysis: Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-03
- Time: 4:11 PM UTC
- Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field
Game Overview
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Tampa Bay Rays in the final game of the series, with the Dodgers favored after splitting the first two games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dodgers hold a 64-47 record with strong pitching led by Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2.63 ERA, 1.05 WHIP), while Rays are 55-57 and struggling to win consecutive games since July 19; Dodgers have 59.6% win rate as favorites and winning 71% of games at -196 or shorter moneyline odds.
- The two teams split the first two games of the series, both finishing as shutouts; Dodgers have historical advantage in head-to-head with better pitching depth noted.
- No significant injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key hitters on either team, ensuring top players like Yamamoto and Rays’ starter retain full effectiveness.
- Game played at Rays’ home field, but weather and conditions neutral; Dodgers have consistently performed well on road with Yamamoto posting a 1.78 ERA over 60.2 innings away.
- Dodgers are pushing for playoff positioning with upcoming tough schedule; Rays seek to avoid losing streak but have lacked momentum recently.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | LAD -196, TB +164 | Los Angeles Dodgers | ★★★★☆ 74% |
Spread | LAD -1.5 -120, TB +1.5 100 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -120, Under 8.5 -102 | Over 8.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Los Angeles Dodgers to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to finish over 8.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Dodgers 6, Rays 3