Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Yankees – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 12:16 AM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals host the New York Yankees in a closely matched MLB game. Both teams have similar seasonal records around .500, with the Cardinals at 61-61 and the Yankees at 64-57. Starting pitchers are Andre Pallante for the Cardinals (6-9, 4.95 ERA) and Luis Gil for the Yankees (0-1, 7.27 ERA), both having struggled recently. The total runs line is set at 9, reflecting expectations for moderate scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cardinals have a 35-27 home record but recent form includes back-to-back losses. Yankees have a modest road favorite status but have lost momentum recently and are relying on a virtually untested Luis Gil.
- The two teams have shown competitive balance recently with closely matched records. The Yankees are slight favorite by moneyline and spread, but the Cardinals' home performance slightly shifts probabilities.
- No major injuries reported affecting the starting lineups or key players. Both teams appear fairly healthy.
- Game at Busch Stadium favors Cardinals slightly due to ballpark factors. Weather and other conditions appear neutral to mildly favorable for pitching.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning late in the season, giving strong motivation to win. Cardinals have slightly more at stake to break even this season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Yankees -134, Cardinals +114 | New York Yankees | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Yankees -1.5 (+120), Cardinals +1.5 (-144) | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 9 runs (-102), Under 9 runs (-120) | Over 9 runs | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Yankees -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: New York Yankees win; Spread: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5; Over/Under: Over 9 runs
Predicted Score: Yankees 6 – Cardinals 5