Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 6:16 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers, holding a strong 95-60 record and currently on the road, face the St. Louis Cardinals, who have a disappointing 75-80 record. The Brewers are favored on the moneyline and the spread, reflecting superior recent form and pitching. The total runs line is set at 9, reflecting a moderately high-scoring expectation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brewers have been strong this season with a 95-60 record, winning 65.2% of games as favorites and posting an 85-66 record against the spread. Cardinals have struggled with a sub-.500 record and poor recent form.
- Brewers have had the upper hand in the series, with predictions heavily favoring Milwaukee to take this matchup.
- Milwaukee has minor injuries with W. Contreras and M. Winn listed; Cardinals deal with injuries to key players like C. Thomas and G. Mitchell, weakening their lineup.
- Game played at Busch Stadium favors Cardinals slightly, but Brewers' stronger lineup and pitching depth likely offset home advantage.
- Milwaukee is pushing to consolidate their higher standing and playoff position, while Cardinals have less motivation with a losing record and likely out of contention.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee -136, St. Louis +116 | Milwaukee Brewers | β β β β β 74% |
Spread | Milwaukee -1.5 +126, St. Louis +1.5 -152 | Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 9 -105, Under 9 -115 | Over 9 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 9 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, and the game to go over 9 runs total.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 6 – St. Louis Cardinals 4