Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-05
- Time: 11:45 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals host the Kansas City Royals in an interleague MLB matchup at Busch Stadium. The Cardinals, with a slightly better record at 33-27, come off a recent two-game losing streak but hold a home advantage. The Royals, holding a 32-29 record, have been inconsistent on the road with a 13-16 away record. Starting pitchers are Miles Mikolas for the Cardinals, who has a 4-2 record and a 3.90 ERA, and Noah Cameron for the Royals, with a 2-1 record and exceptional 1.05 ERA. Both teams have comparable recent form, but the Cardinals' stronger pitching depth and home field edge are notable.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cardinals have a better overall and home record (33-27, 14-18 home) compared to the Royals' 32-29 and 13-16 away record. Cardinals are currently on a 1-game winning streak following a 2-game skid, while Royals are on a 2-game losing streak.
- Recent direct matchups indicate a closely contested rivalry within the division; no significant dominance by either team is noted as of latest data.
- No major injury updates reported for either team prior to the match, maintaining stable lineups and rotations.
- Game played at Busch Stadium favors the Cardinals due to familiarity and fan support. Weather and other external conditions are not indicated as influential in this matchup.
- Both teams are competitive mid-season with similar records; Cardinals may have slight motivation edge being second in NL Central aiming to capitalize at home, while Royals seek to disrupt away.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Kansas City Royals: 100, St. Louis Cardinals: -118 | St. Louis Cardinals to win | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Kansas City Royals -1.5: 176, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5: -215 | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 7.5: -114, Under 7.5: -106 | Under 7.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 59% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals 5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals are predicted to win this matchup, leveraging home field advantage, superior pitching depth with Mikolas, and better recent form.
Predicted Score: Cardinals 4 - Royals 3
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