Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs face off in an NL Central matchup with the Cubs currently having a stronger season record (67-49) compared to the Cardinals (59-59). The last game saw the Cubs dominate with a 9-1 victory, powered by Michael Buschβs key home run and strong pitching by Colin Rea.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Cubs have shown recent dominance, including a 9-1 win on August 9 with strong offensive output and solid pitching. The Cardinals have struggled, with just a .500 win rate and a recent shutout loss.
- The Cubs lead recent matchups with a commanding win on August 9 and have outperformed the Cardinals in the current series. Michael Busch has notably excelled against the Cardinals this season hitting multiple home runs.
- No major injury reports are available from the latest game data indicating key players from either side are missing or limited.
- The game is played at Busch Stadium, home of the Cardinals, which typically offers a home advantage, although recent performance favors the Cubs. Weather or other external conditions are not reported to be factors.
- The Cubs, positioned second in the NL Central, are highly motivated to consolidate their playoff position, while the Cardinals are fighting .500 and looking to improve standing within the division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Cubs: -120, St. Louis Cardinals: 102 | Chicago Cubs win | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Chicago Cubs -1.5: 146, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5: -176 | Chicago Cubs to cover -1.5 run spread | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 8: -105, Under 8: -115 | Over 8 runs total | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Cubs -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Cubs are favored to win based on recent head-to-head results and season performance trends, with a strong lineup and pitching staff showing good form.
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 6, St. Louis Cardinals 3