Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 11:11 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The Chicago Cubs (67-49) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (59-59) in an MLB regular season game with Cubs favored on the moneyline and run line. Starting pitchers are Shota Imanaga (Cubs) and Sonny Gray (Cardinals). The total runs line is set at 8.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cubs have a better overall record (67-49) compared to the Cardinals' .500 mark (59-59). The Cubs won the previous game convincingly (9-1) and have momentum going into this matchup.
- In recent matchups, Cubs pitcher Imanaga has a strong track record against the Cardinals (2-0, 2.41 ERA). Cardinals' Gray has been solid with a 2.45 ERA in his last five starts versus the Cubs but overall has a higher ERA (4.21) this season.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starting pitchers or key hitters.
- Game played at Busch Stadium favors the Cardinals as the home team, but Cubs showed strong recent form on the road.
- Cubs aim to complete a series sweep for confidence boost and maintain division lead, while Cardinals look to avoid series loss and stabilize after losing the previous game badly.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs -120, St. Louis Cardinals +102 | Chicago Cubs | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Chicago Cubs -1.5 +138, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 -166 | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 8 -105, Under 8 -115 | Under 8 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Cubs -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Chicago Cubs to win. Spread: St. Louis Cardinals +1.5. Over/Under: Under 8 runs.
Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 4, St. Louis Cardinals 3