Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-13
- Time: 6:16 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals host the Atlanta Braves in this MLB matchup. The Braves won the previous game on July 12, 2025, by a narrow margin of 7-6, indicating a closely contested series between these two teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have displayed strong offensive capabilities recently; the Braves scored 7 runs with 10 hits in the last game while the Cardinals produced 6 runs on 7 hits. The Braves' pitching held just enough to secure the win, indicating competitive pitching on both sides.
- The recent games have been tight, with the Braves winning 7-6 on July 12 and also having secured a win on July 11 with a score of 6-5. The margin of victory is slim, suggesting a balanced rivalry at this venue.
- Current injury updates are not detailed in the available data, but no major absences have been reported for key players on either roster ahead of this game.
- The game is played at Busch Stadium, giving the Cardinals home-field advantage. Weather and other external factors have not been specified but typically July conditions favor good offensive production.
- Both teams are motivated to gain an edge in this competitive series, with the Braves aiming to extend their winning streak and the Cardinals looking to even the series on home turf.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta Braves: 130, St. Louis Cardinals: -154 | St. Louis Cardinals to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Atlanta Braves: -1.5 -162, St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 134 | St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -105, Under 8.5: -115 | Over 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent form and home advantage, the St. Louis Cardinals are slightly favored to win a close contest against the Atlanta Braves.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 5 – Atlanta Braves 4