Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 23, 2025
- Time: 12:16 AM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, MO
Game Overview
The Arizona Diamondbacks travel to face the St. Louis Cardinals for the first game in a weekend series. Both teams have shown varying performance this season, with Arizona generally favored slightly by the odds, but St. Louis holding the home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona has been moderately favored by oddsmakers, reflecting their recent performance edge. St. Louis, while less favored, benefits from home-field advantage and variable recent results.
- Historically, matchups between these teams can be competitive, but recent trends slightly favor Arizona in terms of odds and recent performance. Head-to-head data from the current season is crucial but not overwhelming in either team's favor.
- No major roster-altering injuries reported for either team as of game time, per available sources.
- Typical ballpark environment at Busch Stadium; no significant weather issues reported.
- Both teams are motivated for early-season positioning, but Arizona is slightly more favored according to current odds and recent results.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona -130 / St. Louis 110 | Arizona Diamondbacks wins | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Arizona -1.5 (125), St. Louis 1.5 (-150) | Cardinals cover (+1.5) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 (-114), Under 8.5 (-106) | Under 8.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks -8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona Diamondbacks are the slight favorites by both odds and recent performance, but the spread is tight and the Cardinals' home field could prove decisive. Expect a close game, with Arizona having a narrow edge.
Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 4, St. Louis Cardinals 3