Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-09
- Time: 1:41 AM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle, Washington
Game Overview
The Seattle Mariners host the St. Louis Cardinals in a key late season MLB matchup with playoff implications. Seattle holds a better overall record (75-68 vs. 72-72) and has home-field advantage at T-Mobile Park. Mariners starter Bryan Woo (12-7, 3.02 ERA, 0.97 WHIP) faces Cardinals starter Miles Mikolas (7-10, 4.89 ERA, 1.33 WHIP). Seattle's offense, led by Cal Raleigh, is in strong recent form while St. Louis has a solid pitching staff but uneven run production.
Key Factors to Consider
- Seattle has a strong home record (41-27) and good recent momentum, coming off a dominant 18-2 win. Cardinals are 4-1 in last 5 games but have struggled on the road offensively.
- The teams have split their last 10 meetings 5-5; Cardinals lead 3-2 in recent games at Seattle. Overall balanced H2H but Mariners have slight edge at home.
- Cardinals are missing Alec Burleson (IL), a key offensive contributor. Mariners have no significant injury issues to key starters or hitters reported.
- Seattleβs home park typically favors pitching and run suppression slightly, although the Marinersβ offense has been able to capitalize especially with top hitters.
- Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning; Mariners battle for a Wild Card spot with momentum in their favor, while Cardinals aim to maintain their spot in the NL Central race.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle -225, St. Louis +188 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Seattle -1.5 -102, St. Louis +1.5 -118 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -112, Under 7.5 -108 | Over 7.5 | β β β ββ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 7.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win outright on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 run line, and the game to go over 7.5 runs
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 8 – St. Louis Cardinals 5