Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 8:11 PM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Game Overview
The Seattle Mariners, with a 69-61 record, host the Oakland Athletics (60-71) in a late-season MLB matchup. Mariners have home-field advantage and strong pitching from Logan Gilbert, while Athletics enter playing competitive baseball and have won the recent game in this series.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mariners have struggled recently losing 4 of 5 games but hold a better overall record and have been generally stronger at home. Athletics continue playing well given their playoff elimination, with a solid recent away form and 7 wins in last 10 games overall.
- In recent meetings, the Athletics took a close extra-innings victory in this series. Logan Gilbert has a good record against Athletics with a 2.14 ERA in last 5 starts versus them.
- Seattleβs Logan Evans is on the 15-day IL with elbow pain, and right fielder Dominic Conzone is day-to-day, impacting Marinersβ lineup depth. Athletics lineup appears healthy.
- Game played at Marinersβ home, a pitcher-friendly park with Gilbertβs strong home performance (2.0 ERA at home). No significant weather or travel concerns for either team.
- Mariners push to hold a wild-card playoff position and are motivated despite recent losses. Athletics out of playoff race but continue to build for future, playing aggressively as underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners -174, Oakland Athletics +146 | Seattle Mariners | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Seattle Mariners -1.5 +122, Oakland Athletics +1.5 -146 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -105, Under 7.5 -115 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners to win on the moneyline, -1.5 run spread, and under 7.5 total runs scored.
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 4 – Oakland Athletics 2