Match Analysis: Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-23
- Time: 7:41 PM UTC
- Location: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
Game Overview
The Seattle Mariners host the Milwaukee Brewers in the final game of their three-game series, with both teams featuring strong pitching matchups. Seattle leads the season series narrowly and recently snapped Milwaukee's 11-game winning streak with a 1-0 victory. The matchup is expected to be low scoring due to quality starting pitching and a pitcher-friendly stadium.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee holds a strong 60-41 record, while Seattle is 54-47. Seattle has won 55.6% of games as moneyline favorites this season. Brewers recently had an 11-game winning streak halted by Seattle. Both teams rely on strong starting pitching.
- Seattle won the recent game 1-0 to snap the Brewers' 11-game winning streak. Pitchers Luis Castillo (SEA) and Quinn Priester (MIL) have comparable ERA stats (3.21 vs 3.33). Previous meetings indicate tight contests.
- No major injury concerns reported affecting starting lineups or key players for either team in recent reports.
- T-Mobile Park is highly pitcher-friendly (ranked 27th in runs factor at 0.843), favoring lower scoring games. Sharp betting money supports the under on total runs despite public leaning on the over.
- Both teams are playoff contenders looking to build momentum late in the season. Seattle aims to capitalize at home after breaking Milwaukee's winning streak to gain a series edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers: +116, Seattle Mariners: -136 | Seattle Mariners | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Milwaukee Brewers +1.5: -192, Seattle Mariners -1.5: +158 | Seattle Mariners -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over 7.5: -110, Under 7.5: -110 | Under 7.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Seattle Mariners 4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Seattle Mariners win moneyline; Seattle cover -1.5 spread; Under 7.5 total runs
Predicted Score: Seattle Mariners 3 – 1 Milwaukee Brewers