Match Analysis: San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 2:16 AM UTC
- Location: Oracle Park
Game Overview
The San Francisco Giants host the Tampa Bay Rays in an interleague MLB matchup featuring starting pitchers Landen Roupp (Giants) and Joe Boyle (Rays). Both teams have roughly .500 records this season, with the Giants slightly favored at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Giants are 59-62 overall, playing better at home with a 30-25 record as favorites around -134 moneyline. The Rays are 59-63, struggling on the road with 5-15 in last 20 away games but showing some competitiveness against the Giants historically (4-2 SU on the road vs Giants).
- Recent H2H favors the Giants with stronger overall results, but Rays have had some success on the road against San Francisco. Both teams are nearly even ATS and have moderate tendencies to go under the total in their games.
- No critical injuries reported impacting the starting pitchers or core lineup for either team for this game.
- Game played at Oracle Park, known for being pitcher-friendly which supports potential for lower scoring. Weather conditions not noted as a factor.
- The Giants aim to solidify their home advantage late in the season to push for playoffs, while the Rays are underdogs fighting to gain ground, adding some incentive despite recent road struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Giants -134 / Rays +114 | San Francisco Giants | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Giants -1.5 at +155 / Rays +1.5 at -188 | San Francisco Giants -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -122 / Under 7.5 +100 | Under 7.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Francisco Giants -0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 20% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Giants win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run line, and the total runs will go under 7.5.
Predicted Score: San Francisco Giants 5 - Tampa Bay Rays 3
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