Match Analysis: San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-25
- Time: 1:45 AM UTC
- Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals visit the San Francisco Giants in a late September MLB matchup. Both teams appear to be out of playoff contention with records near .500, making this game important for ending the season on a high note and gaining momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Francisco Giants hold a slightly better home record (38-39) compared to the Cardinals' away record (34-43). Recent form and player health could influence the game outcome, with Giants favored slightly per odds.
- Season head to head data shows a closely matched rivalry with Giants holding a marginal edge at home, but the Cardinals have taken some wins on the road recently.
- No specific injury data available from latest sources; however, given late season, fatigue and minor injuries could impact bullpen depth and starting rotations.
- Game held at Oracle Park, known for pitcher-friendly conditions. Weather not specified but typical late September fog and cooler temps could suppress offense.
- With both teams outside playoff spots, motivation may focus on ending the season strong and evaluating players for next season.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Francisco Giants: -110, St. Louis Cardinals: -106 | San Francisco Giants win | β β β ββ 57% |
| Spread | San Francisco Giants +1.5: -194, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5: 158 | San Francisco Giants +1.5 (cover the spread) | β β β ββ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5: -122, Under 7.5: 100 | Under 7.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Francisco Giants 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 7.5 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Giants are predicted to edge out the St. Louis Cardinals with their home park advantage and slightly better recent performance.
Predicted Score: San Francisco Giants 4 – St. Louis Cardinals 3