Match Analysis: San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-13
- Time: 1:45 AM UTC
- Location: Oracle Park, San Francisco
Game Overview
The San Francisco Giants host the Arizona Diamondbacks in a highly competitive matchup. The Giants are currently 24-17, while the Diamondbacks are at 21-20. The game features starting pitchers Merrill Kelly for Arizona and Justin Verlander for San Francisco.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Giants have a stronger overall record, but the Diamondbacks have been competitive on the road with a 10-8 record. The Giants are 12-12 at home.
- Recent head-to-head data shows the Diamondbacks won their last matchup 8-2 on September 25th, 2024.
- No significant injury reports have been mentioned for this game.
- Weather conditions are expected to be typical for San Francisco, with no major external factors affecting the game.
- Both teams are motivated to gain momentum in the NL West standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks: -103, San Francisco Giants: -107 | San Francisco Giants win | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Spread | Arizona Diamondbacks: 1.5 -218, San Francisco Giants: -1.5 185 | San Francisco Giants win by more than 1.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over: 8 -113, Under: 8 -107 | Over 8 runs | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Francisco Giants 1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the Giants' stronger record and home advantage, they are slightly favored to win. However, the Diamondbacks' recent performance suggests a competitive game.
Predicted Score: Giants 5, Diamondbacks 3