Match Analysis: San Diego Toreros vs Gonzaga Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-23
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: San Diego, CA (Fowler Park)
Game Overview
The NCAA regular season baseball match features the San Diego Toreros hosting the Gonzaga Bulldogs. Both teams have had mixed results in the 2025 season, with San Diego showing resilience at home and Gonzaga struggling somewhat on the road but capable of strong offensive performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- San Diego Toreros have demonstrated solid home performance with recent wins, notably defeating Gonzaga 11-4 on April 26, 2025, but also losing to them narrowly previously. Gonzaga Bulldogs have had inconsistent results, with some heavy losses early in the season, but showed offensive power in select games.
- Recent head-to-head meetings in April 2025 show a competitive series with San Diego winning 11-4 on April 26, and Gonzaga taking an earlier game. The teams have traded wins, showing no clear dominance.
- No significant injury reports or absences have been noted for either team ahead of this match, suggesting both teams should be at near full strength.
- Playing at home gives San Diego an advantage with familiar conditions at Fowler Park. Weather and other external conditions have not been a reported factor for this evening game.
- San Diego aims to solidify their home standings late in the season, while Gonzaga seeks to improve their road record and gain momentum for post-season considerations.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gonzaga Bulldogs: +120, San Diego Toreros: -154 | San Diego Toreros | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Gonzaga Bulldogs: 1.5 (-110), San Diego Toreros: -1.5 (-120) | San Diego Toreros to cover -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 17.5 (-115), Under: 17.5 (-115) | Over 17.5 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego Toreros -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 17.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 17.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Diego Toreros are favored to win this encounter given stronger home form and recent decisive victory over Gonzaga, with an expected moderately high scoring game.
Predicted Score: San Diego Toreros 10 – 7 Gonzaga Bulldogs