Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-03
- Time: 8:11 PM UTC
- Location: San Diego Padres Home Stadium
Game Overview
The San Diego Padres host the St. Louis Cardinals in a National League matchup following the Cardinals' 8-5 victory over the Padres on August 2, ending San Diego's six-game win streak. The game looms as a crucial battle as both teams seek momentum in the 2025 season.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Padres entered the series on a strong six-game winning streak but were defeated 8-5 by the Cardinals, who showed resilience with key hits including Masyn Winnβs two-run double. Both teams demonstrated strong offensive capabilities; however, recent form favors the Cardinals with their powerful comeback in the previous game.
- Recent head-to-head shows the Cardinals outperforming the Padres in the last encounter with an 8-5 win. Historically, matchups between these teams have been competitive, but the Cardinalsβ recent rally might give them psychological and tactical advantage.
- Current available data does not specify any major injuries impacting either team for this match. Both teams are expected to field their competitive lineups.
- No significant external conditions such as weather or venue disruption reported. The game is held at the Padresβ home ground which could provide a home advantage.
- The Padres seek to reset and regain confidence at home after their streak was snapped, whereas the Cardinals are motivated to capitalize on their momentum and secure consecutive wins.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego Padres: -188, St. Louis Cardinals: 158 | San Diego Padres to win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | San Diego Padres: -1.5 @ 106, St. Louis Cardinals: +1.5 @ -128 | San Diego Padres -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 8: -115, Under 8: -105 | Over 8 runs | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Diego Padres -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the Cardinalsβ recent victory and momentum against the Padres, combined with competitive odds favoring the Padres on moneyline due to home advantage, a close game is expected. However, the Padres might edge out a win by a narrow margin if they adjust their pitching strategy effectively.
Predicted Score: San Diego Padres 6 – 4 St. Louis Cardinals