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San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 1:41 AM UTC
  • Location: PETCO Park, San Diego, CA

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the San Diego Padres in a tightly contested MLB matchup. Phillies are favorites on the moneyline and spread, while the total runs over/under is set at 8.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies have a slightly better overall record (54-39) compared to Padres (50-43). Phillies rank 6th in batting average (.257) and 10th in runs scored (430), while Padres rank lower in key offensive categories but have solid pitching. Both teams are on a one-game winning streak and recent form is balanced.
  • The teams have closely matched encounters historically. Phillies hold a slight edge as favorites with a 65.3% win rate when favored on the moneyline. Recent head-to-head results have been competitive with low run differentials.
  • Phillies have key injuries including Andrew Nola (ankle, IL60) and Max Kepler (shin, day-to-day). Padres have M. King (shoulder, IL60) out as well. Starting pitchers are Ranger Suarez (PHI) and Ryan Bergert (SD), both with strong ERAs around 2.00–2.67, which suggests a pitching duel.
  • Game played at PETCO Park, known for being pitcher-friendly, likely suppressing offensive output. Weather and stadium conditions favor lower scoring.
  • Both teams are competitive in standings with playoff implications, but Phillies' superior record on the road as favorites (-162 or more) indicates strong motivation to cover the spread and win outright.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phillies -162, Padres +136 Phillies ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Phillies -1.5 +106, Padres +1.5 -128 Padres +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8 -112, Under 8 -108 Under 8 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Phillies to win moneyline; Padres to cover +1.5 spread; total runs under 8

Predicted Score: Phillies 4, Padres 3


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San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Match Analysis: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-07-12 Time: 1:41 AM UTC Location: PETCO Park, San Diego, CA Game Overview The Philadelphia Phillies visit the San Diego Padres in a tightly contested MLB matchup. Phillies are favorites on the moneyline and spread, while the total runs over/under is set […]

Baseball July 12, 2025 Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres

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San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 11, 2025
  • Time: 2:16 AM UTC
  • Location: Oracle Park

Game Overview

The San Francisco Giants host the Los Angeles Dodgers in a matchup between two contending teams. The Giants are listed as favorites, while the Dodgers are on a six-game losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Giants have a recent edge, winning four of their last five games. The Dodgers are struggling, having lost their last six games.
  • Historically, the Dodgers have a strong record against the Giants, but recent form suggests a potential shift.
  • No significant injury updates have been reported for either team.
  • The Dodgers' losing streak could impact their motivation and performance.
  • The Giants are motivated to capitalize on the Dodgers' slump, while Los Angeles seeks to break their losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dodgers: +108, Giants: -126 Giants ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Dodgers: +1.5 -192, Giants: -1.5 158 Giants ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 7.5 -105, Under: 7.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Francisco Giants 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: San Francisco Giants at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Giants are expected to win due to their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Giants 5, Dodgers 4


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Oakland Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Oakland Athletics vs Toronto Blue Jays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 2:06 AM UTC
  • Location: Oakland Coliseum

Game Overview

The Oakland Athletics host the Toronto Blue Jays in an MLB matchup. Oakland is struggling this season with a 39-56 record and weaker pitching, while Toronto is in strong form with a 54-39 record and a potent offense. The Blue Jays are favored but will face a motivated Athletics team looking to improve before a road trip.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oakland has a 5-5 record in their last 10 games, averaging 5.2 runs scored and conceding 5.4. Toronto is on a winning streak and averages 4.6 runs per game with strong overall hitting and pitching consistency.
  • Toronto has won 4 of the last 6 meetings, including a recent 8-4 win on July 1. Historically, Oakland has a slight home advantage with 28 wins at home, but Toronto has 27 road wins against Oakland.
  • No major injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players.
  • Game will be played on natural grass at Oakland Coliseum. Weather and venue conditions expected to be neutral with no adverse impacts.
  • Oakland is highly motivated to secure a win to boost standings before an extended road trip. Toronto aims to maintain momentum and solidify their playoff push.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oakland +124, Toronto -146 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Oakland +1.5 -122, Toronto -1.5 +102 Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 10.5 -115, Under 10.5 -105 Over 10.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 10.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6, Oakland Athletics 4


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Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Los Angeles Angels vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 1:39 AM UTC
  • Location: Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California

Game Overview

The Arizona Diamondbacks (46-48) visit the Los Angeles Angels (45-48) for a crucial MLB matchup. Both teams have similar records with middling performances recently. Diamondbacks are slight favorites on the moneyline with strong pitching from Ryne Nelson, while the Angels have had inconsistent play and bullpen struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arizona Diamondbacks have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games and hold a 23-23 away record. Los Angeles Angels have gone 7-3 in their last 10 games and have a 22-21 home record. Angels show slightly better recent form but have bullpen concerns.
  • Tyler Anderson, Angels' starter, has a 6-4 record with a 4.27 ERA vs. Diamondbacks in 17 career starts. Diamondbacks batters have a .270 average against Anderson historically, showing some success. Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks starter) sports a 5-2 record with a 3.39 ERA this season.
  • No major injuries reported for either team impacting the starting pitchers or key lineup players as of the latest reports.
  • Game played at Angel Stadium with home advantage to the Angels. Weather and external conditions expected to be standard with no notable impact.
  • Both teams sit near .500 and are likely motivated to gain ground in their respective divisions. Angels have home field incentive to perform better; Diamondbacks seek to extend away competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline ARI -120, LAA +102 Arizona Diamondbacks ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread ARI -1.5 +132, LAA +1.5 -160 Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 9.5 -100, Under 9.5 -122 Under 9.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arizona Diamondbacks moneyline win

Predicted Score: Arizona Diamondbacks 5 – 3 Los Angeles Angels


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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 12:16 AM UTC
  • Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis

Game Overview

This MLB matchup features the St. Louis Cardinals hosting the Atlanta Braves. The Cardinals enter as slight favorites with a moneyline around -118, while the Braves are underdogs near +100 odds. The game total is set at 8.5 runs with a close spread on the runline.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cardinals hold a better overall record (49-44) versus the Braves (40-51). St. Louis shows strong home form and performs well when favored, boasting a 19-12 record as favorites with moneyline odds at or below -118. The Braves struggle on the road and as underdogs (4-14), indicating some recent inconsistency.
  • Recent head-to-head data and betting models assign the Cardinals a slight edge with a 52-53% implied win probability. The Braves have more difficulty covering spreads against St. Louis.
  • No significant injury reports for either team that could drastically impact starting pitching or lineup strength have been noted.
  • Playing at Busch Stadium provides St. Louis with home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be typical summer conditions without impacting scoring heavily.
  • The Cardinals are pushing to remain competitive in the division with a better standing and have motivation to capitalize on home advantage. The Braves, below .500, aim to rebound but may lack momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline St. Louis -118, Atlanta +100 St. Louis Cardinals ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread St. Louis +1.5 -192, Atlanta -1.5 +158 St. Louis Cardinals +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St. Louis Cardinals -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

St. Louis Cardinals to win moneyline, cover the +1.5 run spread, and the game to go under 8.5 total runs.

Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4, Atlanta Braves 3


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Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Houston Astros vs Texas Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:11 AM UTC
  • Location: Daikin Park, Houston, Texas

Game Overview

The Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers in an MLB matchup. The Astros are the home favorites with a stronger season record (55-38) compared to the Rangers (46-48). The game features pitchers Lance McCullers Jr. for the Astros (5.82 ERA, 2-3 record) and Jack Leiter for the Rangers (4.32 ERA, 4-6 record).

Key Factors to Consider

  • Astros have a better overall season record and perform well at home. Recently, Astros have been 2-3 in their last 5 games and around .500 against the spread with some recent struggles. Rangers have a losing record but have covered some run lines (+0.5u last 30d). Astros are slight favorites with higher winning probability.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor the Astros, who generally have the edge playing at home. The run line and moneyline odds reflect this advantage. Public betting also leans 67% on Astros moneyline.
  • Rangers have three pitchers out: Jon Gray (wrist), Tyler Mahle (shoulder), and Cody Bradford (elbow), which weakens their pitching depth. Astros have no major injury concerns reported.
  • Weather at Daikin Park is warm at 89°F with 0% rain chance and light wind of 11 mph, unlikely to significantly impact scoring. The stadium is favorable for hitters, contributing to moderate total run expectations.
  • Astros are pushing to secure playoff positioning with a stronger record, while Rangers are struggling below .500 and less motivated, likely impacting effort and execution.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Astros -124, Texas Rangers +106 Houston Astros ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Houston Astros -1.5 +160, Texas Rangers +1.5 -194 Houston Astros -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5 Even (100), Under 8.5 -122 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Astros 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Astros to win moneyline, Astros to cover the -1.5 run line, and the game to go over 8.5 total runs.

Predicted Score: Houston Astros 6, Texas Rangers 4


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Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: July 11, 2025
  • Time: 12:11 AM UTC
  • Location: Kauffman Stadium

Game Overview

The New York Mets, with a 53-41 record, face the Kansas City Royals, who have a 46-48 record. The Mets are favored, but recent form and injuries may impact their performance. The Royals are coming off a strong performance by Salvador Perez.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Mets have struggled recently, losing a doubleheader on Thursday. The Royals, meanwhile, have shown resilience with key players like Salvador Perez contributing significantly.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not specified, but the Mets generally have an advantage over the Royals in terms of overall team strength.
  • Kodai Senga returns for the Mets, but his effectiveness after injury is uncertain.
  • No significant external factors are noted, but the Royals' home advantage could play a role.
  • The Mets are motivated to bounce back from recent losses, while the Royals aim to build momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NYM: -136, KC: +116 Kansas City Royals ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread NYM: -1.5 +115, KC: +1.5 -138 Kansas City Royals +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 9: -120, Under 9: -102 Under 9 ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kansas City Royals 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Kansas City Royals at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Royal's upset potential is high due to their recent form and the Mets' struggles.

Predicted Score: Mets 4, Royals 5


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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 12:11 AM UTC
  • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Game Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers (53-40) host the Washington Nationals (38-55) on Friday, July 11, 2025. The Brewers are in strong form, having won five of their last six games and sweeping the Dodgers in their most recent series. The Nationals are struggling for consistency, several games below .500. Milwaukee is heavily favored by bookmakers, with the total set at 8.5 runs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Milwaukee is 53-40, second in the NL Central, with a 3.68 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. The offense is solid, scoring 435 runs with a .247 batting average and .322 OBP. Christian Yelich (18 HR, 63 RBI) and Jackson Chourio (15 HR, 56 RBI) lead the team. The Nationals are 38-55, with less effective pitching and offense.
  • Recent H2H trends are limited in data, but the Brewers are clearly the superior team this season. Milwaukee has a 63% win rate as favorites, while the Nationals are 33-37 as underdogs.
  • No major injuries reported for either team's key contributors at this time.
  • Game is at home for the Brewers, where they have a strong record. No adverse weather expected.
  • Milwaukee is pushing for a playoff spot and riding momentum. Washington's motivation is lower with a losing record and less playoff relevance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Milwaukee -184, Washington +154 Milwaukee Brewers win ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Milwaukee -1.5 +114, Washington +1.5 -137 Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 67%
Over/under Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers are expected to win, covering the spread and the game going over the total.

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5, Washington Nationals 3


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Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Minnesota Twins vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
  • Time: 12:11 AM UTC
  • Location: Target Field

Game Overview

The Minnesota Twins host the Pittsburgh Pirates in a matchup featuring two strong starters, Joe Ryan for the Twins and Paul Skenes for the Pirates. The Twins are slightly favored, and the Pirates are in a slump, lacking recent wins on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Twins have performed better lately, winning six of their last eight games at home. The Pirates are struggling, losing six straight and eight consecutive road games.
  • No recent head-to-head data is provided, but the Twins' current form and home advantage are significant factors.
  • The Pirates are dealing with injuries to Endy Rodriguez and Enmanuel Valdez, which further weakens their lineup.
  • The Twins' home field advantage could be a crucial factor, as they have been more successful at Target Field.
  • Both teams are motivated to win to stay in the Wild Card race, but the Twins' recent success might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -118 (Twins), 100 (Pirates) Minnesota Twins ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Twins -1.5 -220, Pirates +1.5 +180 Minnesota Twins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under Over 6.5 -122, Under 6.5 +100 Under 6.5 ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota Twins 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 6.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Twins' home advantage and recent performance, coupled with the Pirates' struggles, the Twins are favored to win. The strong pitching matchup suggests a low-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Twins 3, Pirates 2


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Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-12
  • Time: 12:10 AM UTC
  • Location: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago

Game Overview

The Chicago White Sox host the Cleveland Guardians in the first game of a doubleheader. The Guardians hold a slight edge in overall season performance and head-to-head matchup balance, while the White Sox have shown some recent home resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Guardians have a 43-48 overall record and a 23-25 away record. The White Sox have a weaker 31-62 overall and 20-26 home record. Guardians have been slightly better recently (7-3 last 10) compared to White Sox (4-6 last 10). The White Sox have shown competitive home form despite an overall poor record.
  • Recent matchups have been competitive, but the Guardians tend to edge the White Sox overall given their better roster consistency and recent form.
  • No major injury reports directly affecting starting pitchers or key batting lineup players have been noted for either team in available sources.
  • The game is played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago. Weather and other external conditions appear neutral from available information.
  • Both teams are motivated to gain ground mid-season, but the Guardians appear more motivated given their better recent form and push to improve their playoff chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago White Sox +122, Cleveland Guardians -144 Cleveland Guardians ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Chicago White Sox +1.5 -138, Cleveland Guardians -1.5 +115 Cleveland Guardians -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8 -106, Under 8 -114 Under 8 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cleveland Guardians to win on moneyline, Guardians -1.5 on spread, Under 8 total runs

Predicted Score: Guardians 4 – White Sox 2


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