Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants - Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-05
- Time: 10:41 PM UTC
- Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Game Overview
The San Francisco Giants (56-57) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (49-64) for an MLB matchup. The Giants are slight favorites with stronger recent pitching performances, while the Pirates have been competitive but lack offensive power.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Pirates have won 7 of 9 lately but struggle offensively, ranking 30th in MLB for power hitting. Their pitching staff sports a 3.85 ERA with some consistency. The Giants have a middling record but superior starting pitching, highlighted by Logan Webb's strong metrics (3.31 ERA, 6.5 K/9).
- Pirates swept the Giants prior for some momentum, but in the last Giants victory over Pirates, Pittsburgh lost providing Giants some edge in recent direct matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for either side impacting starting pitchers or key offensive players.
- Game held at PNC Park, a neutral factor but slightly favoring pitching with the 7.5 total runs line reflecting low scoring expectations.
- Giants appear motivated to maintain a positive trend with playoff hopes alive; Pirates are struggling but fighting to build momentum and confidence with recent wins.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Pittsburgh +134 / San Francisco -158 | San Francisco Giants | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Pittsburgh +1.5 -138 / San Francisco -1.5 +116 | San Francisco Giants -1.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 7.5 -102 / Under 7.5 -120 | Under 7.5 runs | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | San Francisco Giants -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
San Francisco Giants moneyline and run line, with the total going under 7.5 runs.
Predicted Score: San Francisco Giants 5, Pittsburgh Pirates 3
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