Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 5:36 PM UTC
- Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Game Overview
The Philadelphia Phillies, hosting the Washington Nationals, are strong favorites based on season records, starting pitching matchup, and recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Phillies hold a 75-54 record versus Nationals' 53-76. Both teams have 6-4 records in last 10 games, but Phillies lead the division.
- The two teams split the first two games of the series with close scores (5-4, 4-6), showing competitive recent matchups.
- No significant injuries reported for Phillies. Nationals deploy key players including James Wood and CJ Abrams but have a high pitching ERA and WHIP.
- Sunny, warm weather with light breeze expected, favorable to hitters at Citizens Bank Park.
- Phillies seek to maintain division lead and clinch series; Nationals fighting to salvage pride in a losing season.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Phillies -275, Nationals +225 | Philadelphia Phillies | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Phillies -1.5 (-138), Nationals +1.5 (115) | Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 9.5 (-106), Under 9.5 (-114) | Under 9.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 9.5 13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win moneyline and cover the -1.5 run line; game to go under the total of 9.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Phillies 5 – Nationals 3