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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 10:46 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies, playing at home after a strong season and recent momentum, face the Kansas City Royals who have struggled on the road. Walker Buehler starts for the Phillies with moderate recent form, while Michael Lorenzen pitches for the Royals. Offensive production is expected to be high given the park and pitching vulnerabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies hold an 87-60 record with strong home stats (49-23), showing recent offensive resilience. Royals sit at 74-73 overall and 34-38 away, with recent low scoring outputs.
  • Recent Phillies-Royals matchups favor Philadelphia, supported by stronger offense and better road struggles by Kansas City.
  • No major injuries reported that critically affect starting pitchers or key lineup players for either team.
  • Citizens Bank Park is moderately hitter-friendly, ranking in the top 10 for run scoring and home run factors, favoring an over scenario. Weather conditions are typical with no known adverse impact.
  • Phillies are motivated to solidify playoff positioning, having recently swept a strong Mets team; Royals are fighting to maintain above .500 but lack consistent offensive production.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phillies -132, Royals +112 Phillies ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Royals +1.5 -196, Phillies -1.5 162 Royals +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 9 -115, Under 9 -105 Over 9 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline, covering the runline is less certain but possible; the total runs scored are expected to surpass 9 given park factors and pitching vulnerabilities.

Predicted Score: Phillies 6, Royals 4


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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-12 Time: 10:46 PM UTC Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA Game Overview The Philadelphia Phillies, playing at home after a strong season and recent momentum, face the Kansas City Royals who have struggled on the road. Walker Buehler starts for the […]

Baseball Kansas City Royals Philadelphia Phillies September 12, 2025

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Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Minnesota Twins vs Arizona Diamondbacks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 12:11 AM UTC
  • Location: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota

Game Overview

The Minnesota Twins (64-82) face the Arizona Diamondbacks (73-74) in an interleague MLB matchup. Twins' Pablo Lopez (5-4, 2.84 ERA) pitches against the Diamondbacks' Brandon Pfaadt (13-8, 5.18 ERA). The Twins are home favorites with superior pitching stats, but Arizona's mild upward trend and competitive play make this a potentially close game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Twins have struggled overall with a sub-.500 record but feature solid pitching from Lopez. Arizona is hovering near .500 with a stronger season record and better recent momentum, including a 5-3 win over the Giants.
  • Historically, Lopez is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA against Arizona, which slightly complicates the Twins' edge. This matchup offers a nuanced battle on the mound.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team impacting starters or key lineup contributors.
  • The game is at Target Field, giving Minnesota a home field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are stable with no adverse effects noted.
  • Both teams are looking to finish the season positively, with Arizona slightly more motivated to push over .500 and improve playoff positioning. Minnesota seeks to build confidence before the offseason.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -132 Minnesota Twins ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Minnesota Twins -1.5 162 Minnesota Twins -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Under 8 100 Under 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Minnesota Twins 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Minnesota Twins moneyline

Predicted Score: Minnesota Twins 5 – Arizona Diamondbacks 3


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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 12:11 AM UTC
  • Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Game Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers host the St. Louis Cardinals in a late regular season MLB matchup. The Brewers are strong favorites at home, supported by superior recent form, better pitching, and home field advantage. The Cardinals are underdogs looking to bounce back after recent losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Milwaukee Brewers hold an 89-58 record, significantly better than the Cardinals' 72-75. Brewers' starting pitcher Quinn Priester is 12-2 with a 3.25 ERA this season, while Cardinals' Andre Pallante is 6-13 with a 5.28 ERA. Brewers have been consistent and dominant at home in recent games.
  • Brewers have won 4 of the last 6 head-to-head matchups this season against the Cardinals, including a recent close 3-2 win on June 15, 2025.
  • No major injuries reported that critically impact starting lineups for either team. Both lineups expected to be near full strength.
  • Game played at American Family Field favors Brewers with home crowd and familiar conditions. Weather and travel factors neutral, no major impact expected.
  • Milwaukee is pushing for playoff positioning with solid motivation. St. Louis has less at stake, finishing below .500 and looking to end on a positive note.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -184, away: +154 Milwaukee Brewers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread home: 108, away: -130 Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: -102, under: -120 Under 8.5 runs ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Milwaukee Brewers -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers win moneyline and cover the -1.5 spread; the game total runs will fall under 8.5.

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 5 – St. Louis Cardinals 3


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Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Truist Park, Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

The Houston Astros (79-68) travel to face the Atlanta Braves (65-81) in the first game of a three-game MLB series. Houston enters as favorites with slightly better recent form and playoff motivation, while the Braves rely on strong pitching performances from Hurston Waldrep amid a disappointing season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Houston Astros have been slightly better overall this season, with a 79-68 record compared to Atlanta’s 65-81. The Astros are fighting for playoff positioning, showing more consistency, while Braves have struggled but perform well in games started by Waldrep (1.33 ERA, Braves 6-1 in his starts).
  • Astros have lost several recent games at Truist Park to the Braves, who have won the last four games at home against Houston. Braves have outperformed expectations as underdogs recently with strong run line coverages against Houston.
  • No key star injuries reported for either side that would strongly affect starting pitching or lineup construction for this game.
  • The game is hosted at Atlanta’s Truist Park, which historically favors Braves pitching performances. Weather conditions and other external elements are neutral based on current data.
  • Astros highly motivated to secure playoff position, whereas Braves are playing spoiler with less pressure. This dynamic may favour Astros intensity but Braves’ pitching ace Waldrep can be a wild card.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Houston Astros -132, Atlanta Braves +112 Houston Astros ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Houston Astros -1.5 +132, Atlanta Braves +1.5 -160 Houston Astros -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5 +100, Under 8.5 -122 Under 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Houston Astros 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Houston Astros moneyline to win

Predicted Score: Houston Astros 5, Atlanta Braves 3


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Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Miami Marlins vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:11 PM UTC
  • Location: loanDepot park, Miami, Florida

Game Overview

Detroit Tigers (84-63) visit Miami Marlins (68-79) with Tigers firmly in playoff contention and Marlins out of the postseason hunt. Pitching matchup features elite Tarik Skubal (2.10 ERA) vs struggling Sandy Alcantara (5.67 ERA). Tigers are favorites on moneyline and run line, with total set at 7 runs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tigers display strong form (84-63) with solid 3.90 ERA pitching staff and balanced offense (.251 AVG). Marlins (68-79) inconsistent lately, with a 4.75 ERA pitching and weaker offense (.250 AVG). Tigers lead in recent performance and pitching metrics.
  • Limited recent H2H data for 2025; Skubal faces Marlins for second time with excellent prior performance. Alcantara pitching a first career start vs Tigers, having struggled this season. Tigers had recent success vs Marlins pitching and offense matchup favors Detroit.
  • No major injury concerns reported for key players on either side; Marlins miss Kyle Stowers (IL), who leads their HR & RBI production. Tigers appear healthier with top pitchers available.
  • Game at Marlins home in Miami’s loanDepot park, typically neutral pitching environment. Weather and travel appear standard with no adverse impact expected.
  • Tigers motivated by playoff push needing wins; Marlins have less motivation as a non-contender. This gap favors Detroit's competitive edge and intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Detroit Tigers: -210, Miami Marlins: +176 Detroit Tigers ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Detroit Tigers -1.5 -114, Miami Marlins +1.5 -105 Detroit Tigers -1.5 ★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under Over 7 -102, Under 7 -120 Under 7 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Detroit Tigers -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Detroit Tigers moneyline win

Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – Miami Marlins 3


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Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Game Overview

The Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees in a pivotal AL East matchup with both teams holding similar records (Red Sox 81-66, Yankees 81-65). The game features a strong pitching matchup between Boston’s Lucas Giolito and New York’s Luis Gil. The rivalry adds intensity as both teams compete for playoff positioning late in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Yankees boast a top-ranked offense averaging 5.12 runs per game but have a middling pitching staff ranked 16th in runs allowed. The Red Sox maintain balanced performance at home with a strong recent home underdog record and have had success covering spreads as underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have performed well covering the run line against the Yankees recently, especially as home underdogs, whereas the Yankees have struggled covering the run line as road favorites following home wins in the division.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team, with both likely at near full strength for this critical game.
  • Playing at Fenway Park, a hitter-friendly ballpark, combined with both teams’ offensive capabilities, supports potential for a high-scoring game.
  • Both teams are battling for playoff seeding, making motivation exceptionally high. Yankees are fighting to leverage their potent offense, while Red Sox are energized by recent strong home performances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Boston Red Sox: +104, New York Yankees: -122 New York Yankees ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Boston Red Sox +1.5: -164, New York Yankees -1.5: +136 Boston Red Sox +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 9: +100, Under 9: -122 Over 9 runs ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Yankees 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

New York Yankees moneyline; Boston Red Sox +1.5 spread; Over 9 runs total

Predicted Score: New York Yankees 5 – 4 Boston Red Sox


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Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio

Game Overview

The Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago White Sox with Cleveland as favorites, driven by stronger recent form and home field advantage. The pitching matchup features Guardians' Tanner Bibee facing White Sox’s Martín Pérez, with Pérez struggling historically against Cleveland.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Guardians hold a 75-71 record with decent recent form and have won 62.7% of games as favorites this season. White Sox come in with a weaker 57-90 record but have shown resilience, winning their last meeting.
  • In recent direct matchups, White Sox starter Martín Pérez has struggled against Cleveland, posting a 0-2 record and 6.75 ERA in his last five starts versus them. Bibee is 3-0 in his career against White Sox despite a higher ERA.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team that would significantly alter expected lineup strength or pitching rotations.
  • Game played at Progressive Field favors Guardians due to home crowd and familiarity. Weather or other external factors appear neutral.
  • Guardians still pushing for playoff positioning, adding urgency. White Sox, out of playoff contention, have less motivational edge but have recent momentum from a prior win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cleveland -174, Chicago +146 Cleveland Guardians ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Chicago White Sox +1.5 -154, Cleveland Guardians -1.5 128 Cleveland Guardians -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 7.5 -115, Under 7.5 -105 Under 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cleveland Guardians -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cleveland Guardians to win on the moneyline with an under 7.5 runs total.

Predicted Score: Guardians 4 – White Sox 2


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New York Mets vs. Texas Rangers Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: New York Mets vs Texas Rangers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Citi Field, New York

Game Overview

The New York Mets host the Texas Rangers in a pivotal MLB matchup featuring Mets rookie starter Jonah Tong against Rangers' ace Jacob deGrom, who makes an emotional return to Queens. Both teams have similar season records, with the Mets holding a strong home advantage but currently on a losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mets hold a solid 45-27 home record and rank second in NL East, but are struggling with a 6-game losing streak. Rangers have a respectable 77-70 record but poor 30-42 away performance. Mets offense shows moderate power and contact hitting with leaders like Soto and Alonso; pitching ERA around 4.02 for Mets, while Rangers rely heavily on deGrom’s quality starts.
  • Recent matchups favor the Rangers slightly with balanced moneyline bets indicating competitive games. Mets have some home field edge historically at Citi Field, known as pitcher-friendly.
  • No major injuries reported impacting lineup or starting rotations significantly for either team at this moment.
  • Citi Field is a pitcher-friendly park (0.913 run factor), which could suppress scoring. Weather expected to be neutral without major impact. Emotional boost expected for Mets with deGrom’s return.
  • Mets are pushing for playoff position with urgency after recent losses, adding motivation. Rangers, despite being road underdogs, seek to capitalize on matchup and maintain a winning record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mets: -112, Rangers: -104 New York Mets ★★★☆☆ 69%
Spread Mets: -1.5 +158, Rangers: +1.5 -192 Texas Rangers +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 7.5: -118, Under 7.5: -104 Under 7.5 Runs ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New York Mets 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Mets' home advantage and stronger motivation versus Rangers’ tough but inconsistent road form, plus Jonah Tong’s competent but unproven pitching against deGrom’s elite but pressure-filled return, the data favors a close Mets moneyline win with runs under 7.5 being likely due to pitching and park conditions.

Predicted Score: Mets 4 – Rangers 3


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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 11:08 PM UTC
  • Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

Game Overview

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Baltimore Orioles in a late regular season MLB matchup. The Blue Jays lead the AL East and showcase solid offense and pitching depth, while the Orioles are below .500 and aiming to build momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Blue Jays are 84-62, with recent mixed form but strong overall offense (.268 AVG, 727 runs) and solid starting pitching led by Chris Bassitt (3.97 ERA). Orioles are 69-77, relying on a strong Trevor Rogers start (1.51 ERA) but weaker lineup and defense.
  • Bassitt has struggled against Baltimore over the last five starts (6.39 ERA). Orioles have been underdogs lately but have pulled off wins, including a recent 3-2 victory over Pittsburgh. Blue Jays have home advantage and favorable historic results generally.
  • No major injuries reported for either team impacting the starting lineup or rotation on this date.
  • Game played at Rogers Centre with a hitter-friendly park factor. Weather conditions are stable with no expected interruptions.
  • Blue Jays motivated to maintain division lead and home field advantage for playoffs. Orioles focus on ending season strong and building confidence for next year.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -134, away: 114 Toronto Blue Jays ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread home: 150, away: -182 Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -105, under: -115 Under 8 Runs ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toronto Blue Jays 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Toronto Blue Jays at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toronto Blue Jays on Moneyline, Blue Jays -1.5 Spread, Under 8 Runs

Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4 – Baltimore Orioles 2


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Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction MLB in Baseball

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Match Analysis: Washington Nationals vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-12
  • Time: 10:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Nationals Park, Washington, DC

Game Overview

The Washington Nationals host the Pittsburgh Pirates in a matchup between two of the weaker teams in the National League. Both teams are struggling offensively and have poor recent form, setting the stage for a low-scoring, close contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Pirates hold a 64-83 record with a poor 22-50 road performance, while the Nationals are 60-86 and 29-42 at home. Both teams are on losing streaks and out of playoff contention, with weak offenses ranking near the bottom of MLB.
  • Pittsburgh leads the season series 3-1. Historically, the Pirates have had the edge, but this matchup features closely matched teams given pitching and offensive struggles.
  • No significant injuries to starters noted, with Brad Lord starting for the Nationals and Mitch Keller for the Pirates, both showing mixed but mediocre season performances.
  • Playing at Nationals Park gives Washington a slight home field advantage. Both teams face late-season fatigue and lack playoff motivation. weather conditions are standard with no reported impact.
  • Low playoff chances for both teams reduce motivation, but both may fight to avoid last place in their divisions. This likely leads to competitiveness rather than full effort blowouts.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Washington Nationals -107, Pittsburgh Pirates -103 Washington Nationals ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Washington Nationals -1.5 +189, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -225 Washington Nationals -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 8 -107, Under 8 -113 Under 8 ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Washington Nationals 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Washington Nationals to win; Spread: Nationals -1.5 runs; Over/Under: Under 8 runs

Predicted Score: Nationals 4 – Pirates 2


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