Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs Auburn Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-15
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Swayze Field, Oxford, MS
Game Overview
This NCAA baseball match features the Ole Miss Rebels hosting the Auburn Tigers at Swayze Field. Both teams are highly ranked (#6 ranked Auburn and similarly competitive Ole Miss), and this game is part of a tightly contested SEC schedule late in the regular season. The match carries significant weight for conference standings and postseason seeding.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ole Miss has shown inconsistency with recent results including big wins and some losses, while Auburn holds an overall strong form with a winning streak of 5 games, a 37-15 overall record, and a solid 16-11 conference record. Auburn's home record is exceptional but this game is away for them. Ole Miss has demonstrated strong offensive output in recent games but also suffered heavy losses, indicative of some volatility.
- Recent matchups are competitive with both teams ranked closely; the current series is closely watched with home advantage for Ole Miss. Auburn has performed well in away games in the past but Ole Miss has the home field advantage which historically influences performance.
- No explicit injury information available from the provided data; both teams appear to be fielding their regular lineups.
- Game played at Ole Miss home stadium, which can provide an advantage. Weather and other conditions not specified but late-season Southern baseball games typically face mild conditions. Motivation is high as this is a key SEC match ahead of the SEC Tournament.
- Both teams are fighting for strong postseason positioning in the SEC. Auburn carries momentum with a 5-game win streak; Ole Miss seeks to protect home turf and improve their standings before SEC Tournament starts.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn Tigers: -115, Ole Miss Rebels: -115 | Auburn Tigers to win | β β β ββ 55% |
| Spread | Ole Miss +1.5 (-110), Auburn -1.5 (-110) | Auburn to cover -1.5 | β β β ββ 53% |
| Over/under | Total 7.5 runs | Under 7.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Auburn Tigers -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Auburn Tigers at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Auburn Tigers are slightly favored given their momentum and balanced odds, but Ole Miss at home is a strong contender. A tight, low-scoring game is expected, with Auburn edging out a narrow win.
Predicted Score: Auburn Tigers 4 – Ole Miss Rebels 3